USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-07 01:00 UTC 47 minutes ago

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 90 % (50.85) ▼ Bearish 10 % (5.57)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 90.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.7 % vs 19.2 % average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 11.7 % (Forex, 248 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.67
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.61
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.42
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal cluster fired on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a short-term bounce.
The signal is counter to the bearish intraday trend—treat it as a potential reversal or a corrective move.
Watch the 158.247 resistance; a break above it could confirm the bullish momentum.
The 157.912 support is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the signal.

A dense cluster of bullish signals has fired on the USD/JPY 30-minute chart, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and a break above the middle Bollinger Band. This is reinforced by trend-following indicators (EMA 200, KAMA, HT TRENDLINE) retreating upward, suggesting the recent pullback is losing steam and buyers are stepping in. The confluence of momentum, volatility, and trend indicators points to a short-term bullish impulse, with the signal probability at 92% and strength rated very strong.

However, the broader context is cautious. While the 12-hour and daily timeframes are bullish, all shorter timeframes (15m through 8h) remain bearish and choppy, with trend scores at 1/5. This means the bullish signal is firing against the dominant intraday downtrend, and the move may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 158.247 is a key hurdle; a break above it would confirm strength, while a drop below support at 157.912 would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH) crossing up simultaneously, showing strong buying pressure.
▲ Trend-following indicators (EMA 200, KAMA, HT TRENDLINE) turning up, indicating the pullback is ending.
▲ Higher timeframe (12h, daily) bullish trend provides a supportive backdrop for a bounce.
▲ Probability of 92% and very strong signal strength suggest high conviction in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ All intraday timeframes (15m to 8h) are bearish and choppy, so the signal may be a counter-trend bounce that fades.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.247 is close—if it holds, the bullish move could stall.
▼ A drop below support at 157.912 would invalidate the signal and could accelerate selling.
▼ Low trend scores (1/5) across most timeframes indicate the market lacks a clear directional bias, increasing the chance of false signals.