APT/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL NEWWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 35 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, SMI Signal Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down +5 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(9 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 2.70 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▲ | RSI OB Exit | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | TRIX Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | STC OB Entry | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.11 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A short-term bearish signal has fired on the 30-minute chart, driven by overbought conditions and momentum shifts.
- The broader trend remains bullish across most timeframes, suggesting the sell signal may be a pullback rather than a reversal.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 0.85660 and support at 0.69090; a break below the 30-minute support would invalidate the bearish case.
- The signal's weak strength and 58% probability indicate limited downside potential, so use tight risk management.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.85660 and support at 0.69090. A break below the 30-minute support (likely the recent swing low) would invalidate the bearish signal and confirm continued bullish momentum. Conversely, if price fails to hold above the 30-minute support and breaks lower, the pullback could extend toward the daily support. The weak strength and 58% probability suggest limited downside potential, so traders should manage risk tightly and avoid over-leveraging.
- ▼ Cluster of overbought exit indicators (CCI, RSI, Williams %R) and momentum crossovers support a short-term pullback.
- ▼ The 30-minute trend is bullish but the signal suggests a potential correction within that trend.
- ▼ The 12-hour timeframe is bearish, providing some alignment with the sell signal on a higher timeframe.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.85660 may act as a ceiling, reinforcing the bearish case if price stalls there.
- ▲ The overall trend is bullish across most timeframes, including the 15-minute and daily, which could overwhelm the bearish signal.
- ▲ The signal strength is weak and probability is only 58%, indicating a high chance of failure.
- ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.85660, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum indicators like TRIX and SMI are crossing in conflicting directions, suggesting indecision.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.85660 | 2026-10-06 |
| R2 | 0.85950 | 2026-10-05 |
| S1 | 0.69090 | 2026-10-08 |