AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-09 11:30 UTC 55 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

0.99264

Target

0.98799 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99581 −0.32 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,434 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,434 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ALMA Break Down, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat +7 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +8% Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (17.29)

model score 1.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.81
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.49
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.44
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.43
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.39
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	1.03
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	0.98
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests immediate downside pressure.
The signal aligns with the higher-timeframe bearish trend (4H and above), despite short-term bullish momentum.
Watch the 0.98799 support level; a break below could accelerate selling, while a hold may lead to consolidation.
The mixed trend across timeframes warrants caution; the signal is strong but not without conflicting signals.

A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the 30-minute AUD/CAD chart, including a SAR Flip Bearish, T3 Break Down, ER Level Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, ALMA Break Down, HMA Retreat Down, and a retreat from the ACCBANDS upper band. This confluence of indicator-based triggers points to a swift loss of upside momentum and an immediate shift to selling pressure. The signal strength is rated very strong, with a high probability score, suggesting the market is aligning for a downside move from current levels.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15-minute through 2-hour timeframes are all bullish, the 30-minute signal is bearish, and the higher timeframes (4H through 1D) remain bearish. This creates a potential conflict: the signal is firing against the short-term uptrend but in the direction of the larger bearish structure. The nearest support at 0.98799 is a key level to watch; a break below could confirm the bearish move, while a bounce might indicate the signal is premature. Resistance at 0.99312 caps upside attempts.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (SAR, T3, ER, SMI, ALMA, HMA) on the same timeframe.
▼ Alignment with the higher-timeframe bearish trend (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D).
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability score.
▼ Retreat from the upper ACCBANDS band suggests overbought conditions are unwinding.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term timeframes (15M-2H) are still bullish, which could counter the bearish signal.
▲ A failure to break below the 0.98799 support could lead to a bounce and invalidate the move.
▲ The 30-minute signal is against the immediate trend, so momentum could stall.
▲ Choppy conditions on higher timeframes (8H and above) may limit follow-through.