BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-09 17:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.35 %

Entry

82,676.68

Target

81,603.52 +1.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

83,528.98 −1.03 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 7,829 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,829 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +31.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 3 % (1.05) ▼ Bearish 97 % (32.99)

model score 96.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.81
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.51
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.08
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.01
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.01
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30-minute chart shows a strong bearish signal cluster with high probability (87%) and very strong strength.
The 2h and 4h timeframes confirm the downtrend, while the 1d remains bullish, creating a mixed but short-term bearish bias.
Watch the nearest support at 81603.52; a break below could trigger further downside, while resistance at 83528.98 is the key upside hurdle.
The presence of both indicator and candlestick signals adds confluence to the bearish case.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and DEMA Retreat Down, with 87% probability and very strong strength. This indicates a broad-based loss of buying momentum and a shift toward selling pressure on the short-term timeframe. The candlestick group adds further confirmation, suggesting that price action is aligning with the technical indicators.

Across timeframes, the bearish case is supported by solid downtrends on the 2h and 4h charts, with trend scores of 3/5, while the 15m and 30m are bearish but choppy. The 1h and 8h/12h are trend-forming, and the 1d remains bullish, so the medium-term picture is mixed but the immediate momentum is clearly down. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 83528.98 and support at 81603.52. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (ADX, BOP, CMO, DI, DM, RSI, DEMA) all point in the same bearish direction, indicating strong selling pressure.
▼ The 2h and 4h timeframes show solid downtrends, aligning with the short-term bearish signal.
▼ The candlestick group signals provide additional confirmation of bearish price action.
▼ The high probability (87%) and very strong strength suggest a robust signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1h and 1d timeframes are bullish, which could limit downside or lead to a reversal if higher-timeframe buyers step in.
▲ The 15m and 30m trends are choppy/sideways, which may reduce the reliability of the short-term signal.
▲ A reclaim of the nearest resistance at 83528.98 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the signal cluster is overextended, especially with the ADX showing weak trend strength.