ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-09 04:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.55 %

Entry

2,487.40

Target

2,406.11 +3.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,587.28 −4.02 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 8

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 7,544 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,544 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↓ −19.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 32 % (6.81) ▼ Bearish 68 % (14.73)

model score 10.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.04
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.09
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.04
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.04
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators on the 30-minute chart align, suggesting strong short-term downside pressure.
Higher timeframes (1h, 2h) show a very strong bearish trend, supporting the sell signal.
Watch the support at 2406.11; a break below could accelerate selling, while resistance at 2587.28 is the key level to reclaim for bulls.
The bullish trend forming on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) introduces uncertainty, so monitor price action closely.

The 30-minute chart for ETH/USDT has triggered a comprehensive bearish signal, with multiple indicators aligning to suggest downward momentum. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying pressure, while CCI OB Exit and STOCH KD Cross Down point to overbought conditions unwinding. EMA 50 Retreat Down and the KDJ Cross Down reinforce the bearish narrative, and the HMA Retreat Down confirms the short-term trend reversal. This confluence of signals across indicator and candlestick groups suggests a strong likelihood of continued downside movement.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes show a very strong bearish trend, the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are still forming a bullish trend. This divergence suggests that the immediate bearish signal may be a pullback within a larger bullish correction, or that the higher timeframe bearish trend is reasserting itself. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2587.28 and support at 2406.11. A break below support would confirm the bearish outlook, while a move back above resistance could invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of bearish indicators on the 30-minute chart (BOP, CCI, STOCH, EMA, KDJ, HMA).
▼ Very strong bearish trend on 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes, providing a higher timeframe tailwind.
▼ The signal's high probability (87%) and very strong strength indicate robust bearish momentum.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 1d) supports the downside scenario.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are still forming a bullish trend, which could counter the bearish signal if momentum shifts.
▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 2587.28 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ If the price holds above support and forms a higher low, the bearish signal may be a false breakdown, leading to a reversal.
▲ Momentum may fade if the overbought conditions are already resolved, reducing the potential for a sustained drop.