EUR/GBP – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
0.84821
Target
0.85208 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.84584 −0.28 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 96 % (39.85) ▼ Bearish 4 % (1.76)
model score 5.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.9 % vs 17.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 303 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/GBP  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 6%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Ascending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.44
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.41
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.76
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.51
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 1.33
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.29
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.25
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.23
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.23
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.22
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.21
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.20
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.19

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish 30M breakout against a bearish higher-timeframe backdrop—likely a corrective bounce.
  • Key support at 0.84584; a close below invalidates the bullish setup.
  • Resistance at 0.84870 is the first target and a potential reversal zone.
  • Strong signal confluence (trendline, triangle, multiple MAs) but counter-trend risk is high.
The EUR/GBP 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and an Ascending Triangle breakout, with confirmation from a BOP Zero Cross Up and multiple moving-average retreats (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA). This confluence points to a short-term bullish impulse within the 30M timeframe, targeting the nearest resistance at 0.84870. However, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) all remain bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong downtrend (4/5). This creates a classic counter-trend setup: the bullish signals are firing against the larger bearish structure, which raises the risk of a bounce that fails at resistance.

Traders should watch the 30M bullish momentum carefully. The immediate support at 0.84584 is the key level to hold for the bullish case to remain valid; a close below that would invalidate the breakout. The nearest resistance at 0.84870 is the first target and a potential reversal zone. Given the strong bearish alignment on higher timeframes, this is likely a corrective bounce rather than a trend reversal. The probability score of 94% and 'very strong' strength reflect the bullish signal's internal consistency, but they do not override the higher-timeframe trend. A prudent approach is to treat this as a scalp or short-term trade, with tight risk management and a clear exit plan at resistance.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up and Ascending Triangle breakout provide clear bullish chart patterns.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure.
  • ▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) confirm momentum shift.
  • ▲ High probability (94%) and very strong strength suggest robust internal signal consistency.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are bearish, with 4H very strong—counter-trend moves often fail.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.84870 is nearby and could cap upside, leading to a reversal.
  • ▼ If price breaks below support at 0.84584, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • ▼ Momentum may fade quickly if the broader downtrend reasserts.
Symbol EUR/GBP
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-09 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.84870 2026-10-08
R2 0.84932 2026-10-06
R3 0.85208 2026-10-02
S1 0.84584 2026-10-09
S2 0.84476 2026-10-07

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