ETH/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-09 07:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.21 %

Entry

2,500.65

Target

2,587.28 +3.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,406.11 −3.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 7,829 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,829 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Up, ALMA Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

44.6 % ↓ −15.5 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 76 % (11.07) ▼ Bearish 24 % (3.54)

model score 27.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.4 % vs 33.8 % on average · stopped out 32.5 % vs 21.7 % (crypto, 1,325 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.46
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.81
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.54
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.50
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.39
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.30
▼	Advance Block	candlestick	1.12
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.06
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bullish signals are firing, but they are within a larger bearish trend across higher timeframes.
The 30m trend is weak and choppy, so the bounce may lack momentum.
Watch the nearest resistance at 2587.28 and support at 2406.11 for direction.
The ADX shows a weak trend, so this could be a range-bound move rather than a strong reversal.

The 30-minute chart for ETH/USDT is flashing a cluster of bullish retreat signals, with multiple moving averages (EMA, SMA 50, ALMA, MAMA, and MIDPOINT) all retreating upward, suggesting that price is bouncing off the lower end of a range. However, the ADX indicates a weak trend, and the stochastic KD cross down alongside the upper Bollinger Band retreat suggests that the immediate upside may be limited, with price pulling back from overbought conditions. This creates a mixed picture: a short-term bounce within a broader bearish structure.

Across timeframes, the trend is clearly bearish on the higher timeframes, with the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 1d all showing solid bearish trends. The 30m is choppy and sideways, while the 15m is just starting to form a bullish trend. This suggests that the current bullish signal is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2587.28 and support at 2406.11. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a drop below support would confirm the bearish continuation.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving averages (EMA, SMA 50, ALMA) are retreating upward, indicating buying pressure in the short term.
▲ The 15-minute timeframe is starting to form a bullish trend, suggesting early momentum.
▲ The bounce is occurring near the lower part of the range, with support at 2406.11 nearby.
▲ A cluster of bullish signals (indicator and candlestick) increases the likelihood of a short-term bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 1d) are all bearish, which could cap any upside and lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ The stochastic KD cross down and upper Bollinger Band retreat indicate waning momentum and potential pullback.
▼ The ADX trend strength is weak, so the signal may lack conviction and could fail.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 2406.11 would invalidate the bullish signal and signal further downside.