EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-09 11:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

1.12181

Target

1.11718 +0.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12768 −0.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 765 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 765 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.42 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (13.69)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.35
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful 1H bearish signal cluster (Belt Hold Bearish plus eight momentum cross-downs) points to immediate selling pressure toward support at 1.11718.
Higher timeframes (4H to daily) are all bearish, aligning with the intraday sell signal, but the 30M-2H timeframes are still bullish, creating a conflict.
The nearest resistance at 1.12268 is the key invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish setup.
Watch the 1.11718 support for a potential bounce or breakdown, as it is the immediate downside target.

A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the 1H EUR/USD chart, led by a Belt Hold Bearish candlestick and confirmed by a broad sweep of momentum oscillators (BOP, STOCHF, ER, ERI, SMI) all crossing down, alongside a retreat from the SMA 200 and a TTM TREND downtick. This confluence points to strong intraday selling pressure at the current level, with the immediate downside target being the nearest support at 1.11718. The bearish case is reinforced by the higher timeframes: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and daily charts all show solid to very strong bearish trends, indicating that the larger trend is aligned with this intraday sell signal.

However, the intermediate timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H) are still bullish, which creates a conflict that could limit the downside or lead to a bounce. The 1H trend is bullish, so this sell signal is counter-trend on its own timeframe. The nearest resistance at 1.12268 is a key level to watch; a break back above it would invalidate the bearish setup and signal that the higher-timeframe bullish momentum has reasserted itself. Traders should watch for a test of the support at 1.11718 and monitor price action there for signs of continuation or reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of eight bearish signals on the 1H chart, including a Belt Hold Bearish and multiple cross-downs across momentum and trend indicators.
▼ Strong bearish alignment on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, daily) supports the continuation of the downtrend.
▼ The SMA 200 retreat down suggests the price is pulling back from a key moving average, adding to the bearish case.
▼ The signal strength is 'very strong' with a 100% probability, indicating high confidence in the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H, 30M, and 2H timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce or a reversal of the signal.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 1.12268, the bearish setup is invalidated and the bullish intermediate trend may resume.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls at the support level, leading to a consolidation rather than a continued decline.
▲ The signal is based on the 1H timeframe; a strong bullish move on the 4H or daily could override the intraday bearish pressure.