NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-09 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.10 %

Entry

0.56155

Target

0.56283 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55817 −0.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,434 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,434 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, KAMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 91 % (20.14) ▼ Bearish 9 % (2.04)

model score 5.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.15
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.07
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.92
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.88
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.73
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.57
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.31
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term upward move, but higher timeframes are bearish.
The Trendline Break Up and BOP Zero Cross Up are the primary triggers, supported by momentum and EMA signals.
Watch the 0.56283 resistance; a break could confirm further upside, while 0.55817 is the key support to hold.
The bullish trend is forming on lower timeframes but lacks confirmation from higher timeframes.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a BOP Zero Cross Up, with supporting momentum signals including a STOCHF KD Cross Up and an EMA Retreat Up. The DX Trend Strong confirms the strength of the move, while the mix of MOM, ROC, and ROCR cross downs suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish, though these are contrarian signals that may indicate a reversal attempt. The trend across lower timeframes (15m to 1h) is bullish and forming, aligning with the 30-minute signal, but the higher timeframes (8h to 1d) remain bearish with solid to very strong trends, creating a conflicting backdrop. The nearest resistance at 0.56283 is a key hurdle; a break above could open the path toward higher levels, while support at 0.55817 is the immediate downside risk. The confluence of trendline, indicator, and candlestick signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bullish bias, but traders should be cautious given the bearish higher-timeframe trends.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals (trendline, indicator, candlestick) provide confluence on the 30-minute chart.
▲ Lower timeframe trends (15m, 30m, 1h) are all bullish, aligning with the signal direction.
▲ The DX Trend Strong indicates strong momentum behind the move, supporting the bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish with solid to very strong trends, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ The MOM, ROC, and ROCR cross downs are contrarian signals; if momentum fails to sustain, the bullish move may stall.
▼ A break below the 0.55817 support would invalidate the bullish signal and could lead to further downside.

Symbol NZD/USD

Timeframe 30M

Direction BUY

Conviction 6%

Strength WEAK

Date 2026-10-09 10:00

cat_ Forex Forex