BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-09 07:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.22 %

Entry

82,523.26

Target

81,603.52 +1.11 %

closes in profit

Stop

86,698.99 −5.06 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 7,829 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,829 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % ↑ +27.0 vs previous candle

STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 20 % (2.44) ▼ Bearish 80 % (9.90)

model score 80.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.95
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is building on the 30m timeframe, with multiple indicators confirming a sell bias.
Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are bearish, supporting the short-term downside, but the daily trend is still bullish.
Watch the resistance at 86698.99; a break above would invalidate the bearish signal.
Support at 81603.52 is the first key level to watch for potential downside extension.

The 30-minute SELL signal on BTC/USDT is driven by a cluster of bearish momentum and trend indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, CCI OB Exit signals a pullback from overbought conditions, STOCHF KD Cross Down adds short-term bearish momentum, and HT SINE Zero Cross Down aligns with the cyclical downtrend. The STOCH KD Cross Up is a minor counter-signal within the stochastic family, but it is outweighed by the broader bearish setup.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish: the 1h, 2h, and 4h trends are solidly bearish, with the 2h showing very strong bearish momentum (4/5). However, the 15m and 30m are still bullish but trend forming, and the 1d is solidly bullish, which creates a potential conflict. The immediate resistance at 86698.99 is the key invalidation level for the bearish thesis; a break above would negate the signal. Support at 81603.52 is the initial downside target, and a close below that would confirm further bearish continuation.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend on the 2h timeframe (4/5) provides a solid backdrop for the short-term sell.
▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, HT SINE) increases conviction.
▼ Resistance at 86698.99 is holding, keeping the bearish structure intact.
▼ CCI OB Exit suggests the market is overbought and due for a pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily trend is bullish (3/5), which could limit downside and lead to a bounce.
▲ A break above resistance at 86698.99 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up is a bullish divergence within the stochastic family, hinting at possible short-term strength.
▲ Momentum is weak (59% probability, strength weak), so the move may lack follow-through.