NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 12× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.51 %

Entry

0.56139

Target

0.55817 +0.57 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56266 −0.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 896 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 896 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

14 % at target avg +0.36 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 11 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) +4 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.48
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.36
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	2.01
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.01
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.98
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.82
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.52

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal with high probability and strong confluence on the 1H.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid bearish trends, supporting the sell.
Watch resistance at 0.56266 and support at 0.55817 for potential entry/exit.
Short-term bullish signals on 1H/2H may represent a pullback within the downtrend.

The NZD/USD 1H signal is a confluence of multiple bearish indicators, with a 92% probability and very strong strength. The AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend on the 1H may seem contradictory, but they are part of a broader bearish context: the AROONOSC Zero Cross Up and MACD Signal Cross Up suggest a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend, while the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit point to fading buying momentum. The EMA 200 Retreat Down confirms the bearish bias on the 1H, and the additional signals in the fibonacci, candlestick, and indicator groups likely include bearish patterns and retracement levels.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with very strong trends on the 8H, 12H, and 1D, and bearish but choppy on the 15M, 30M, and 4H. The 1H and 2H are bullish but choppy, suggesting a potential short-term pullback that may offer a selling opportunity. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56266 and support at 0.55817. A break below support could extend the bearish move, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish alignment on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) with very strong trend scores.
▼ Multiple bearish indicators firing simultaneously, including BOP, STOCHF, and WILLR.
▼ EMA 200 retreat down confirms bearish momentum on the 1H.
▼ Confluence of signal groups (fibonacci, candlestick, indicator) adds weight to the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H and 2H are bullish, which could indicate a stronger bounce that pushes price above resistance.
▲ Choppy conditions on lower timeframes (15M, 30M) may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.56266 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum indicators like MACD and AROON show short-term upward crosses, suggesting possible continuation of the pullback.