AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-15 04:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.07 %

Entry

0.98691

Target

0.98506 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99664 −0.99 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,683 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,683 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 8 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

36.2 % ↓ −3.5 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 8 % (2.93) ▼ Bearish 92 % (35.51)

model score 23.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	1.85
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	1.81
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	1.71
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.59
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.57
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.34
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.25
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

AUD/CAD is in a strong short-term downtrend with multiple bearish signals aligning on the 30-minute chart.
The trend is confirmed across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, with 2h and 4h also turning bearish.
Resistance at 0.99664 is the key level to watch; a break above it would negate the bearish setup.
Higher timeframes (8h and above) remain sideways or bullish, so this may be a corrective move rather than a major reversal.

The AUD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and confirmed by multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) plus momentum oscillators (STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR oversold entry). This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at the current timeframe, with the trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h all bearish and solid. The higher timeframes (2h and 4h) are also turning bearish, though still forming, while the 8h to 1d remain sideways or mildly bullish, suggesting the bearish move is primarily a short-term correction within a larger consolidation.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 0.99664 is the immediate ceiling; a break back above it would invalidate the bearish setup. With no defined support below, the downside is open, but traders should be cautious about chasing given the higher timeframe resistance. The probability score of 92% and very strong strength underscore the conviction of this signal, but the lack of a clear support level increases the risk of a sharp reversal if the pair retraces into the resistance zone.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of signals: Trendline Break Down, multiple moving-average retreats, and momentum oscillators all point lower.
▼ Strong trend scores on 15m, 30m, and 1h (4/5, 3/5, 3/5) confirm the bearish momentum.
▼ The 2h and 4h trends are also turning bearish, suggesting the move may extend beyond the short term.
▼ High probability (92%) and very strong signal strength indicate a high-confidence setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The nearest resistance at 0.99664 is a potential reversal zone; a break above it would invalidate the signal.
▲ Higher timeframes (8h and above) are still bullish or sideways, which could limit the downside.
▲ The WILLR oversold entry suggests the pair is already oversold, increasing the risk of a bounce.
▲ No defined support below means the downside could be sharp but also prone to sudden reversals.