USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-15 04:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

157.654

Target

157.362 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.949 −0.82 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,683 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,683 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 8 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −11.6 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +31% Scalping

▲ Bullish 2 % (1.18) ▼ Bearish 98 % (51.18)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.54
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.37
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.18
▼	Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.06
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart with multiple indicators and trendline breaks.
Trend is bearish on lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) but choppy or bullish on higher timeframes.
Key downside target is support at 157.52000; resistance at 158.94900 is the invalidation level.
High probability signal, but the lack of higher-timeframe confirmation suggests a potential counter-trend move.

A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the USD/JPY 30-minute chart, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and BBANDS LOWER Break Down, along with multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA). This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and a decisive shift in short-term momentum. The trend is consistently bearish across the 15-minute to 1-hour timeframes, with the 30-minute trend solid (3/5) and the 15-minute very strong (4/5), confirming that the current pullback aligns with the dominant intraday direction. However, higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are choppy or even bullish, which suggests this is a counter-trend move within a larger range, not a fresh long-term downtrend. The nearest support at 157.52000 is the key downside target, while resistance at 158.94900 (likely the broken trendline or recent swing) acts as the invalidation zone for the bearish setup.

The signal's high probability (97%) and very strong strength are supported by the alignment of multiple indicator groups and the consistency of the bearish trend on the lower timeframes. The breakout of the lower Bollinger Band and the cross down of the BOP (Balance of Power) confirm that sellers are in control. For traders, this setup favors a short bias while price remains below the resistance level. A break below the support would likely accelerate the move, but the lack of strong bearish conviction on the 4H and higher timeframes means the downside may be limited. Watch for a failure to hold below the support or a reclaim of the resistance to invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators align bearishly: Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and BBANDS LOWER Break Down.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes, with the 15M trend very strong.
▼ Moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) confirm momentum is fading to the downside.
▼ The signal's high probability (97%) and very strong strength indicate a high-confidence setup.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are choppy or bullish, which could limit the bearish move or lead to a reversal.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 158.94900, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ The nearest support at 157.52000 may act as a strong floor, potentially causing a bounce.
▲ The very strong signal could be overextended, risking a short-term pullback or consolidation.