AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-12 22:00 UTC 56 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.69576

Target

0.69952 +0.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69328 −0.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,522 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,522 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), SMI Signal Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −20.4 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 72 % (12.39) ▼ Bearish 28 % (4.85)

model score 5.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.5 % vs 17.6 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 11.4 % (forex, 489 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	2.25
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.20
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.47
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.36
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.31
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.29

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term momentum indicators are flashing a bullish bounce signal on the 30-minute chart.
The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, so any upside is likely a correction, not a reversal.
Resistance at 0.69952 is the immediate hurdle; a break above could extend the bounce.
Support at 0.69516 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signal.

The AUD/USD signal on the 30-minute chart is a BUY with a 71% probability, despite the overwhelming bearish trend across all timeframes. The signal is driven by a cluster of short-term momentum indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, and SMI Signal Cross Up, which suggest that buying pressure is building and that the immediate downside momentum may be exhausting. Additionally, the T3 Retreat Up and the Keltner Lower Lower Retreat indicate that price is attempting to recover from oversold conditions, pointing to a potential short-term bounce.

However, the broader trend is firmly bearish, with all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily showing bearish alignment. The 30-minute timeframe itself is bearish with a solid trend score, and the 4-hour and 1-hour trends are forming, which could cap any upside. The most critical level to watch is the nearest resistance at 0.69952; a break above this could signal a deeper correction, but failure to hold above it would confirm the bearish dominance. The nearest support at 0.69516 is the invalidation level for this bullish signal; a break below would negate the bounce and likely resume the downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, STOCHRSI, SMI) are turning up, suggesting a short-term shift in buying pressure.
▲ The T3 Retreat Up and Keltner Lower Lower Retreat indicate price is bouncing from oversold conditions.
▲ The Fibonacci group signals add confluence, often marking key retracement levels.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend is solid on the 30-minute and higher timeframes, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ The EMA 50/200 Death Cross is a bearish signal that may continue to pressure price.
▼ The nearest resistance is close, and a failure to break above it could lead to a quick reversal.
▼ The signal strength is only moderate, and the probability, while high, is not certain.