NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 12× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.42 %
Entry
0.55888
Target
0.56193 +0.55 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.55314 −1.03 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 896 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 896 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
14 % at target avg +0.36 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 11 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, SAR Flip Bullish, MACD Signal Cross Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 17.1 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 11.3 % (forex, 311 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
NZD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 6%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.86
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.78
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.74
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.69
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.37
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.37
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.27
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.26
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.07
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 0.92
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 0.79

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish momentum signals fired on the 1H chart, pointing to a short-term bounce from oversold conditions.
  • The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
  • Resistance at 0.56193 is the immediate upside target; support at 0.55817 is the key invalidation level.
  • The signal is strong and high-probability, but the bearish higher timeframe bias warrants caution and tight risk management.
The NZD/USD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Exit, alongside additional candlestick confirmations. This suggests that the short-term selling pressure is exhausting and that a bounce is underway from oversold conditions. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains bearish, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing solid or very strong downtrends. The 1H and 2H are also bearish, though only at a trend-forming stage, indicating that this is likely a counter-trend correction within a larger decline.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56193 and support at 0.55817. The bullish signals are firing near the lower end of the recent range, and a break above resistance would suggest the bounce has legs, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup. The high probability (93%) and very strong strength reflect the confluence of multiple indicators, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends mean traders should treat this as a tactical long within a broader downtrend, not a reversal signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (RSI, Stochastic, Williams %R) exited oversold territory, signaling a shift in momentum.
  • ▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up and MACD Signal Cross Up confirm buying pressure and bullish momentum alignment.
  • ▲ The high probability (93%) and very strong strength reflect a rare confluence of over a dozen bullish signals.
  • ▲ The bounce is occurring near established support, providing a technical foundation for the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bearish, which could overwhelm the 1H bounce and resume the downtrend.
  • ▼ The 15M and 4H are choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear directional conviction even on shorter timeframes.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.55817 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger further downside.
  • ▼ The bounce may be a short-lived correction within a strong downtrend, risking a false signal if momentum fades quickly.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-13 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.56193 2026-10-12
R2 0.56266 2026-10-09
R3 0.56283 2026-10-06
S1 0.55817 2026-10-08
S2 0.55803 2026-10-05

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