NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-13 09:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.10 %

Entry

0.55983

Target

0.56193 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55797 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,594 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,594 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +8% Scalping

▲ Bullish 93 % (40.47) ▼ Bearish 7 % (3.18)

model score 92.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 17.3 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 11.4 % (forex, 410 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.57
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.04
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.50
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.16
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High	indicator	1.00
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30m chart suggest a short-term bounce, but higher timeframes remain bearish.
Watch the 0.56193 resistance and 0.55797 support for direction.
Signal strength is high (87%), but trend alignment is mixed—use caution.
This looks like a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.

The 30-minute NZD/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and a strong DX Trend reading, with multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA) and an STOCHRSI KD Cross Up confirming upward momentum. The candlestick group adds further confirmation. However, this bullish impulse is occurring within a broader bearish context: while the 15m and 30m timeframes are forming uptrends, the 1h is only mildly bullish, and the 2h through daily timeframes remain bearish, with the 8h, 12h, and 1d showing solid or very strong downtrends. This suggests the current move is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 0.56193 and support at 0.55797. A sustained break above resistance could signal a deeper correction, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend. The strong signal strength (87% probability) on the 30m timeframe is notable, but traders should weigh it against the overwhelming bearish bias on higher timeframes. The move may offer a short-term long opportunity, but it should be managed with tight risk controls given the conflicting trend structure.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators align on the 30m timeframe (BOP, DX, STOCHRSI, moving averages).
▲ Candlestick patterns add confirmation to the bullish bias.
▲ Trend is forming on 15m and 30m, suggesting early momentum.
▲ Strong signal probability (87%) and very strong strength rating.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2h to daily) are bearish, with strong downtrends on 8h and above—this could cap upside.
▼ The 1h timeframe is only mildly bullish, offering limited support.
▼ A break below 0.55797 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The bounce may fade if the broader downtrend resumes.