USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %
Entry
1.42818
Target
1.43059 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.42401 −0.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,522 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,522 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping
▲ Bullish 88 % (23.63) ▼ Bearish 12 % (3.24)
model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 0%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.02
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.01
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.99
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.97
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.96
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.94
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.65
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 1.61
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.60
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.07
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.01

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPVery strong trend
12H
UPVery strong trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bullish signals on the 30m chart point to a short-term bounce within a larger uptrend.
  • Higher timeframes (2h and above) are bullish, with 8h and 12h showing very strong trends.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.42875 for a potential breakout; support at 1.42546 is the key invalidation level.
  • The signal is strong (87% probability), but the lower timeframes are still bearish, so caution is warranted.
The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, and multiple retreat-up signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPRICE). These indicate that momentum is shifting upward after a pullback, with the stochastic oscillators exiting oversold territory and the balance of power turning positive. The retreat-up signals suggest that price has pulled back to key moving averages or trendlines and is now bouncing, which is a classic continuation setup in an uptrend.

While the immediate 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are still bearish or sideways, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bullish, with the 8h and 12h showing very strong trends. This alignment suggests that the current 30-minute bullish signal is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger uptrend, but the strength of the higher timeframe trends supports the bullish case. The nearest resistance at 1.42875 is the immediate upside target, while support at 1.42546 is the level to watch for invalidation. A break above resistance could open the door to further gains, while a loss of support would negate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong alignment across higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) all bullish, with 8h and 12h very strong.
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple retreat-up signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPRICE) indicating a bounce from support.
  • ▲ Stochastic oscillators (STOCH OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up) suggest momentum is turning upward from oversold conditions.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicates buying pressure is increasing.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bearish or sideways, which could cap upside momentum.
  • ▼ Immediate resistance at 1.42875 is nearby and could stall the rally.
  • ▼ If price breaks below support at 1.42546, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▼ The 30m trend is still bearish, so this could be a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-13 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.42875 2026-10-12
R2 1.42987 2026-10-09
S1 1.42546 2026-10-12
S2 1.42401 2026-10-12
S3 1.42066 2026-10-09

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