USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-12 22:00 UTC 56 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

158.676

Target

158.076 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

159.473 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,522 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,522 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (18.45)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.1 % vs 17.6 % on average · stopped out 16.5 % vs 11.4 % (forex, 284 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.14

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum on the 30M chart is confirmed by multiple indicators and a candlestick pattern.
The broader trend is bullish but weak, so this is likely a pullback rather than a major reversal.
Watch the 158.07600 support level—a break could extend the decline, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
Higher timeframe bias is mixed, so keep position sizes controlled.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals: a BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure overtaking buying pressure, while DEMA Retreat Down and MIDPOINT Retreat Down confirm that price is pulling back from recent highs as momentum shifts lower. The Long Legged Doji candlestick at the current level reflects indecision, often preceding a reversal when combined with these momentum indicators. The confluence of these signals suggests a short-term bearish correction within an otherwise bullish broader context.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish but weak, with 15m through 1h showing only 2/5 trend strength and higher timeframes choppy. The 8h timeframe is actually bearish, adding some weight to the downside move. The nearest support at 158.07600 is the key level to watch; a break below could accelerate selling, while a hold may see the pair resume its broader uptrend. Given the strong signal strength and 80% probability, the bearish move is likely to play out in the near term, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher-timeframe bullish bias.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of three momentum indicators (BOP, DEMA, MIDPOINT) all pointing down.
▼ Long Legged Doji at a potential pivot adds reversal confirmation.
▼ The 8H timeframe is bearish, supporting the downside move.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (80%) increase confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M to 1H timeframes are still bullish, which could limit downside.
▲ If price holds above 158.07600, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the broader uptrend reasserts itself.
▲ Choppy higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 12H) suggest the pair may not trend cleanly.