AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %
Entry
0.99290
Target
0.99086 +0.21 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99693 −0.41 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,594 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,594 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 10 % (3.08) ▼ Bearish 90 % (28.89)
model score 90.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 90%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.79
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.76
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.38
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart, supported by multiple indicators.
  • Bearish alignment across 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes, with the 1h trend the most solid.
  • Immediate resistance at 0.99461 and support at 0.99086 are the key levels to monitor.
  • Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bullish but weak, indicating potential for limited downside.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a strong SELL signal, with multiple indicators aligning to confirm bearish momentum. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure, while the MACD Signal Cross Up suggests a potential short-term bounce within a broader downtrend. The STOCHF KD Cross Down confirms fading upward momentum. Notably, the EMA 200 Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, and SMA Retreat Down all point to sustained bearish movement, with price retreating from key moving averages and trendlines. This confluence of signals across candlestick and indicator groups underscores the strength of the bearish setup.

Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed but predominantly bearish. The 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes all show bearish trends, with the 1-hour trend rated as solid (3/5), providing a strong foundation for the sell signal. However, the 15-minute and 4-hour timeframes are choppy/sideways, and the 12-hour and daily timeframes are bullish, albeit weak (1/5). This suggests that while the immediate and medium-term momentum is bearish, higher timeframe trends are not fully aligned, which could limit downside potential. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.99461 and support at 0.99086; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, MACD, STOCHF, EMA 200, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, SMA) all point to bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Trend alignment on 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes supports the sell signal.
  • ▼ Price retreating from key moving averages and trendlines reinforces the bearish case.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength (80% probability) suggests high conviction in the setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframe trends (12h, 1d) are bullish, which could counteract the bearish move.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 15m, 4h, 8h timeframes may lead to false breakouts.
  • ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.99461, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Fading momentum as indicated by the MACD Signal Cross Up could lead to a temporary bounce.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-13 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99461 2026-10-13
R2 0.99693 2026-10-12
R3 0.99757 2026-10-09
S1 0.99086 2026-10-13
S2 0.98799 2026-10-09

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