BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-14 04:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.30 %

Entry

83,743.01

Target

82,972.74 +0.92 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,168.00 −0.51 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,722 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,722 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.52 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +3.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.67) ▼ Bearish 93 % (22.00)

model score 92.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	2.46
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.11
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.56
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.54
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term momentum indicators are turning lower, supporting a bearish bias on the 30-minute chart.
Higher timeframes (4h, 1d) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, though lower timeframes remain choppy.
Watch the 82972 support: a break below could accelerate downside, while a move above 83850 would invalidate the signal.
The signal is weak (55% probability), so consider it a minor pullback rather than a strong reversal.

The 30-minute SELL signal on BTC/USDT is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators turning lower. The BOP Zero Cross Down points to declining buying pressure, while the STOCH KD Cross Down and WILLR OB Exit confirm waning upside momentum. The HMA Retreat Down adds a short-term bearish tilt, and the ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price has stretched above its statistical mean and may revert. The STC Level Cross Up is the outlier, hinting at a possible short-term bounce, but the overall signal stack leans bearish.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed. The 15m through 2h charts are bullish but choppy, with weak trend scores (1/5), indicating a lack of clear directional conviction. In contrast, the 4h and 1d charts are bearish and trend-forming (2/5), suggesting that the larger structure is aligning with the short-term sell signal. This confluence—a short-term pullback within a longer-term downtrend—adds weight to the bearish case. Key levels to watch are resistance at 83850 and support at 82972. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish alignment on 4h and 1d timeframes provides a larger trend backdrop for the short-term sell signal.
▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR, HMA) are converging to the downside.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price is overextended and due for a mean reversion.
▼ Support at 82972 is nearby, offering a clear downside target if selling pressure persists.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are still bullish, though choppy, which could lead to a bounce and invalidate the signal.
▲ The STC Level Cross Up is a conflicting indicator, hinting at possible short-term upside.
▲ The signal is weak (55% probability), so false signals are more likely.
▲ If price reclaims the 83850 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and the short-term trend could flip back up.