NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-14 08:00 UTC 19 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.72 %

Entry

0.56200

Target

0.55797 +0.72 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56765 −1.01 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 896 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 896 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

14 % at target avg +0.36 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 11 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.34
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.14
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	2.00
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.62
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.61
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.43
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.35
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.33
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.21
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.19
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of overbought momentum indicators (CCI, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ) all crossed down, signaling fading bullish momentum and potential reversal.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are strongly bearish, suggesting the current 1H sell signal aligns with the broader trend.
The 1H and 30M bullish trends are weak (2/5), likely a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend.
Watch the key support at 0.55797; a break below could accelerate downside, while resistance at 0.56266 is the immediate hurdle.

The 1H SELL signal on NZD/USD is driven by a cluster of momentum oscillators exiting overbought territory and crossing down, including CCI, STOCH, WILLR, and KDJ, alongside a BOP Zero Cross Down and a DX Trend Weak reading. This suggests that the recent bullish momentum on the lower timeframes is fading, and selling pressure is building. The candlestick group adds confirmation of a potential reversal.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes. The 12H and 1D trends are strongly bearish (4/5), while the 4H and 8H are also bearish. The 1H and 30M are currently bullish but with weak trend scores (2/5), indicating that the recent bounce is likely corrective within a larger downtrend. The 15M is choppy. This alignment suggests that the sell signal is likely to resume the broader downtrend. Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.56266 and support at 0.55797. A break below support could open the door for further downside, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend on 12H and 1D timeframes (4/5) provides a clear directional bias.
▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) and bearish crosses (KDJ, STOCHF) indicate momentum has peaked.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down shows selling pressure is overtaking buying pressure.
▼ The 4H and 8H bearish trends add confluence with the higher timeframe downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H and 30M trends are still bullish, so the sell signal could be premature if the correction extends.
▲ The 15M is choppy/sideways, and the 2H is only weakly bearish, indicating a lack of strong momentum on the lower timeframes.
▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 0.56266 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum is fading but not yet confirmed by price; wait for a break below support to confirm the reversal.