BTC/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-15 16:00 UTC 43 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.45 %

Entry

82,108.01

Target

80,226.35 +2.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,146.72 −2.48 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 4,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 4,632 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.59 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.50 % 22 % at stop avg −2.16 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ER Level Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

57.9 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +4% Intraday

▲ Bullish 28 % (3.59) ▼ Bearish 72 % (9.22)

model score 72.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 17:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on 1H suggest a potential short-term sell opportunity.
Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
Watch for a break below 80226.35 to confirm downside momentum.
Resistance at 84146.72 is the key level to monitor for invalidation.

The 1H chart for BTC/USDT has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. These signals indicate a loss of buying momentum and a potential shift toward selling pressure in the short term. While the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) still show a weak bullish trend, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, with the 4H showing a solid trend. This suggests that the immediate bullish momentum may be fading, and the overall bias is bearish.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 84146.72 and support at 80226.35. A break below support could confirm the bearish outlook, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal. The presence of both FISHER and RSX mid-line cross ups adds a note of caution, as they hint at possible short-term bounce, but the confluence of bearish signals and higher timeframe alignment supports the sell direction.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (BOP, STOCHF, SMA 200, candlestick) on the 1H chart.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, providing alignment.
▼ The 4H trend is solid, reinforcing the bearish bias.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, which could provide short-term support.
▲ FISHER and RSX mid-line cross ups indicate potential for a bounce, which could delay the move.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 84146.72 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The 8H and 12H trends are choppy/sideways, which may reduce the strength of the bearish move.