NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-15 11:00 UTC 57 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

0.56109

Target

0.56297 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55653 −0.81 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 947 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 947 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +12% Intraday

▲ Bullish 96 % (33.38) ▼ Bearish 4 % (1.33)

model score 96.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.88
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.87
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	1.84
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.72
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.68
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.33
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.23
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.08
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.96
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.74

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal on the 1H chart, backed by a broad set of indicators, suggests a short-term bounce attempt.
The 30m to 4h timeframes are bullish but mostly choppy, indicating the move may lack strong momentum.
The higher timeframes (12h and 1d) remain bearish, so this is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.56297 and support at 0.55653.

The 1H NZD/USD signal is strongly bullish (96% probability, very strong strength) with a broad cluster of momentum, trend, and moving-average indicators firing in unison, including ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Up, DI Cross Up, DM Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up. This confluence suggests that downside pressure has eased and buyers are stepping in on the hourly chart, with the nearest resistance at 0.56297 and support at 0.55653 defining the immediate range.

However, the bullish signal is primarily a short-term development. While the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes are all bullish, they are mostly choppy/sideways with weak trend scores (1/5), and the 15m remains bearish. More importantly, the 12h and 1d timeframes are bearish, with the daily trend very strong (4/5). This suggests the hourly bullish push is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The signal is therefore best treated as a tactical long opportunity, with the key invalidation level at the nearest support of 0.55653.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of multiple indicators (ADX, BOP, DI, DM, STOCHF, DEMA, EMA, HT trendline) all turning bullish on the 1H.
▲ Bullish alignment across the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes, even if weak, supports a short-term upside bias.
▲ The signal strength is very strong (96%), suggesting high conviction in the immediate move.
▲ The presence of both candlestick and indicator groups adds to the technical confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ The 12h and 1d timeframes are bearish, with the daily trend very strong (4/5), which could overwhelm the hourly bullish signal.
▼ The 15m timeframe is bearish and choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum is not yet confirmed.
▼ The bullish trend scores on the 1h and 4h are weak (1/5), suggesting the rally may lack follow-through.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.55653 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a resumption of the broader downtrend.