USD/CHF – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW
57 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %
Entry
0.82970
Target
0.79494 +4.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83826 −1.03 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 9
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 4,107 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 4,107 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.37 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bearish, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, MOM Zero Cross Down +21 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Position
▲ Bullish 7 % (3.40) ▼ Bearish 93 % (47.31)
model score 93.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CHF  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.15
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 1.91
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.83
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.83
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.83
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.69
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.67
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.41
▼ AROON Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.32
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.30
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.25
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.25
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.25
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.25
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.06
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.05
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.05
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 0.93

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish momentum signals (Aroon, BOP, CMO, MOM) confirms a strong sell signal on the 12H chart.
  • Intraday timeframes (15m to 2h) are aligned bearish, but higher timeframes (4h to 1d) remain bullish, so the selloff is still early relative to the larger trend.
  • Key resistance at 0.83826 must hold; a break above would invalidate the signal. Key support at 0.79494 is the primary downside objective.
  • The 93% probability and very strong strength suggest high conviction, but traders should monitor higher timeframe trends for potential conflict.
The USD/CHF 12H chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, led by Aroon Cross Down and Aroon Strong Downtrend, which confirm a decisive shift from bullish to bearish control. The zero-line crosses in AroonOsc, BOP, CMO, and MOM all point to deteriorating buying pressure and accelerating downside momentum, while the CCI OB Exit signals that the prior overbought condition has broken, inviting sellers. With 93% probability and very strong strength, the confluence of these indicators suggests that the bearish move is not just a minor pullback but a broader trend reversal.

Across timeframes, the intraday picture aligns well: 15m, 30m, and 1h are all in solid bearish trends, while 2h is forming a bearish trend. However, the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish or choppy, indicating that the selloff is still in its early stages relative to the larger structure. The nearest resistance at 0.83826 is the immediate ceiling that must hold to keep the bearish case intact; a break above would invalidate the signal. The nearest support at 0.79494 is the primary downside target, and a sustained move toward that level would confirm the bearish momentum. Traders should watch for a close below the current swing lows to reinforce the trend, while any failure to break support could signal a pause or reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple zero-line crosses (AroonOsc, BOP, CMO, MOM) confirm a broad-based shift in momentum to the downside.
  • ▼ Aroon Cross Down and Strong Downtrend signal a clear bearish trend reversal on the 12H chart.
  • ▼ Intraday timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all in solid bearish trends, providing alignment with the 12H signal.
  • ▼ CCI OB Exit indicates that the prior overbought condition has broken, adding to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish or choppy, which could limit the downside or lead to a reversal.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.83826 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Momentum may be fading if the price fails to break below key support, leading to a consolidation or bounce.
  • ▲ The signal is based solely on indicators; without confirmation from price action, there is a risk of a false signal.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-15 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83826 2026-10-01
S1 0.79494 2026-08-20
S2 0.79097 2026-06-17
S3 0.77951 2026-05-29

Tags

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