USD/CHF – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-15 08:00 UTC 55 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

0.82970

Target

0.82273 +0.84 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83467 −0.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 372 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 372 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.41 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down, KST Signal Cross Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 15 % (6.11) ▼ Bearish 85 % (35.29)

model score 85.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.28
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.07
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.92
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	1.49
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 4H chart is bearish with a strong cluster of signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and MACD Zero Cross Down.
Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are aligned bearish, supporting the downside move.
Key levels: resistance at 0.83467, support at 0.82845.
Higher timeframes (8h-1d) are still bullish, which could limit the bearish potential.

The 4H USD/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a MACD Zero Cross Down, with a wave of retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) confirming downside momentum. The immediate trend is clearly bearish across the lower timeframes (15m through 2h), with solid trend scores on the 30m and 1h, while the 4H itself is choppy/sideways but still bearish. This alignment suggests that the current pullback is likely to extend toward the nearest support at 0.82845, with the nearest resistance at 0.83467 acting as the first upside barrier. The confluence of trendline, candlestick, and indicator groups adds weight to the bearish case, though the conflicting bullish structure on higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) warrants caution.

The key levels to watch are the resistance at 0.83467 and support at 0.82845. A sustained break below support would open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The MACD zero cross down and the retreat signals suggest momentum is firmly with the sellers, but the higher-timeframe bullish bias could limit the downside. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across lower timeframes (15m-2h) with solid trend scores on 30m and 1h.
▼ Confluence of multiple signal groups: trendline, candlestick, and indicator.
▼ MACD zero cross down confirms bearish momentum shift.
▼ Retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) all pointing lower.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h-1d) are bullish, which could lead to a bounce or reversal.
▲ The 4H trend is choppy/sideways, so the bearish move may lack strong momentum.
▲ A break above resistance at 0.83467 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Fading momentum could lead to a consolidation phase before further downside.