AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-16 20:00 UTC 59 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

109.764

Target

109.136 +0.57 %

closes in profit

Stop

110.060 −0.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,888 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,888 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, DPO Zero Cross Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 12 % (6.10) ▼ Bearish 88 % (44.23)

model score 87.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.30
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.27
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.19
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.99
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, confirmed by a cluster of 14+ indicator signals.
Most timeframes align bearish, with the 2-hour showing the strongest downtrend (3/5).
Watch resistance at 110.060 and support at 109.136 as key levels.
The 1-hour bullish trend is a conflicting factor that could slow or reverse the move.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicator signals, including AROON Strong Downtrend, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI CROSS Cross Down, DM CROSS Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down, among others. This broad alignment of momentum and trend indicators points to strong selling pressure on the 30-minute timeframe, with the signal strength rated as very strong. The bearish bias is supported by the broader timeframe structure: the 2-hour chart shows a solid downtrend (3/5), and most other timeframes (15m, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are also bearish, though with lower trend scores indicating developing rather than mature trends. The 1-hour timeframe is the outlier, showing a bullish trend forming, which introduces a minor conflicting element but does not override the dominant bearish momentum.

The nearest resistance sits at 110.060, a level that could act as a ceiling if price retraces. The nearest support is at 109.136, which is the immediate downside target and a key level to watch for a potential bounce or continuation. The confluence of signals across multiple indicators increases the likelihood of a continued move lower, but the mixed 1-hour trend and the choppy 15-minute action suggest that the move may not be smooth. Traders should monitor the 30-minute chart for a break below 109.136 to confirm further downside, while a move back above 110.060 would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Broad alignment of momentum indicators (RSI, CCI, CMO, STOCHF) all crossing below their midlines.
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend confirms the prevailing bearish direction on the 30-minute timeframe.
▼ Multiple timeframe bearish alignment (15m, 30m, 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) supports the sell signal.
▼ 2-hour chart shows a solid downtrend, providing stronger conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1-hour timeframe is bullish, which could provide counter-trend support and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 15-minute chart is choppy/sideways, indicating potential consolidation before further downside.
▲ A break back above 110.060 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum may be fading on lower timeframes if price stalls near support at 109.136.