BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-16 09:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.07 %

Entry

82,160.00

Target

81,688.00 +0.57 %

closes in profit

Stop

82,634.30 −0.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,356 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,356 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, HMA Break Down, DEMA Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

44.6 % ↓ −22.5 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +24% Scalping

▲ Bullish 4 % (2.17) ▼ Bearish 96 % (58.56)

model score 28.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 09:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.13
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.01
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.30
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.25
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.11

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30m chart points to strong short-term downside momentum.
The 4h trend is solidly bearish, supporting the lower-timeframe sell signal, but higher timeframes are choppy.
Watch the nearest support at 81688.00; a break confirms the bearish move, while resistance at 82634.30 is the key invalidation level.
The 15m bullish bias could cause a temporary bounce, so wait for confirmation before acting.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by multiple cross-down signals across momentum and volatility indicators including CCI OB Exit, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and BBANDS Middle Cross Down. This confluence suggests a strong short-term shift in momentum, with the price breaking below a previously supportive trendline and key moving averages. The alignment across timeframes is broadly bearish, with the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h all showing bearish trends, and the 4h displaying a solid trend (3/5) that lends weight to the downside move. However, the lower timeframes (15m) remain bullish, and several higher timeframes (8h, 12h) are choppy, indicating that the bearish move may be part of a larger consolidation rather than a clean trend reversal.

Immediate downside focus is on the nearest support at 81688.00, a break of which could open the door to further declines. On the upside, the nearest resistance at 82634.30 now acts as a key barrier; a reclaim of this level would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a false breakdown. The very strong signal probability (91%) and the breadth of indicators firing together increase confidence, but traders should watch for a potential bounce at support, especially given the mixed higher-timeframe picture. The 15-minute bullish bias could also provide a counter-trend pullback, so confirmation of the breakdown with sustained price action below support is critical.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple cross-down signals (DI, DM, STOCH KD, BBANDS Middle) align to confirm bearish momentum.
▼ Trendline Break Down adds a technical pattern confluence, reinforcing the sell signal.
▼ The 4h timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), providing higher-timeframe alignment.
▼ Very strong signal probability (91%) and a high number of indicators firing together increase conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m timeframe is bullish, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce or a false breakdown.
▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the bearish move may be part of a range rather than a new trend.
▲ A reclaim of the nearest resistance at 82634.30 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price fails to break below the nearest support at 81688.00, leading to a consolidation.