ETH/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
55 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.21 %
Entry
2,463.01
Target
2,324.22 +5.63 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,530.44 −2.74 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 4,717 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 4,717 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +1.59 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.55 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.54 % 22 % at stop avg −2.17 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
62.9 % – first candle
STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 20 % (2.88) ▼ Bearish 80 % (11.85)
model score 80.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
ETH/USDT  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 13:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.52
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.50
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.38
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.32
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.29
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 1.03
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish indicators on the 1H align with the solid downtrend on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H).
  • Key resistance at 2467.05 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish signal.
  • Nearest support at 2324.22 is the immediate downside target.
  • Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish, so expect possible pullbacks before further downside.
The 1H SELL signal on ETH/USDT is driven by a broad cluster of bearish indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT SINE Cross Up, HT SINE Zero Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, and KDJ Cross Down. These signals collectively indicate fading buying pressure, bearish momentum, and price retreating from key moving averages. The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are already in solid bearish trends, which aligns with the 1H signal, suggesting that the current pullback on lower timeframes is part of a larger downtrend.

However, the 1H, 2H, and lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still showing bullish or choppy conditions, which creates a mixed picture. The immediate resistance at 2467.05 is the level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 2324.22 is the first target for downside moves. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 1H with the higher timeframe trend suggests a high-probability short opportunity, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting bullish lower timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend scores (3/5) on 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes.
  • ▼ Multiple indicator confirmations (BOP, STOCHF, EMA/SMA retreat, HT SINE, ER, KDJ) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Price retreating from key moving averages (EMA200, SMA200) on the 1H.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe alignment supports the continuation of the downtrend.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, which could trigger short-term bounces against the signal.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is currently bullish (though choppy), conflicting with the sell signal.
  • ▲ A break above resistance at 2467.05 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the price holds above the 1H moving averages.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 80%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-16 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,467.05000 2026-10-15
R2 2,530.44000 2026-10-14
R3 2,538.52000 2026-10-13
S1 2,324.22000 2026-10-15
S2 2,318.00000 2026-10-15

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