EUR/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 06:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

1.59141

Target

1.58567 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.59614 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, SMI Signal Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.9 % ↑ +11.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (1.48) ▼ Bearish 91 % (15.07)

model score 41.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	1.82
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.49
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.36
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.33
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.29
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.18

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30m chart points to a strong short-term sell opportunity.
Higher timeframes (2h, 4h) show bearish trend formation, supporting the move, but lower timeframes are choppy.
Key levels: resistance at 1.59614 and support at 1.58938; a break below support would confirm, a reclaim of resistance would invalidate.
The signal is very strong (91% probability), but conflicting bullish 15m/1h timeframes warrant caution.

The 30-minute EUR/CAD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a CCI Zero Cross Down, EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Downs, a T3 Break Down, an SMI Signal Cross Down, an ALMA Break Down, and an HMA Break Down, alongside a HT TRENDMODE shift to Trend. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to a strong short-term bearish push. The trend alignment across timeframes is mixed: the 30-minute and 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day timeframes are all bearish, though the 15-minute and 1-hour are still bullish. The higher timeframe support (2h and 4h showing 'trend forming') suggests that the move may have room to develop, but the choppy/sideways nature of most timeframes warns of potential consolidation.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.59614 and support at 1.58938. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The very strong probability (91%) and the number of signals fired increase confidence, but the conflicting bullish 15m and 1h timeframes and the choppy conditions imply that the trend may not be smooth. Traders should monitor price action relative to these levels and watch for any signs of momentum fading, such as a reversal candle or a bounce off support.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator confluence: CCI, EMA/SMA 200, T3, SMI, ALMA, HMA all breaking down simultaneously.
▼ HT TRENDMODE shift to Trend on the 30m adds weight to the bearish case.
▼ Higher timeframe (2h, 4h) trend formation aligns with the bearish direction.
▼ Nearest resistance is close, providing a clear invalidation level if price moves up.

Risk Factors

▲ Conflicting bullish 15m and 1h timeframes could lead to a bounce or consolidation.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes may cause the move to stall or reverse.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.59614 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly; watch for a bullish reversal candle or a break above the 200 EMA.