SOL/BTC – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-17 04:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

0.001286

Target

0.001252 +2.66 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.001347 −4.74 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 56 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.08 % per trade 1,351 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,351 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.74 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.92 % 19 % at stop avg −3.94 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, QSTICK Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,143 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

60.8 % – first candle

STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 23 % (3.29) ▼ Bearish 77 % (11.30)

model score 77.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	Short Line Bearish	candlestick	1.04
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.98
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.98
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	0.98
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.97
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish momentum indicators (APO, BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, KAMA, ER, ERI) fired on the 4H, creating a strong confluence.
Trend alignment across 4H, 8H, and 12H is bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong trend, supporting the sell signal.
Watch the nearest support at 0.00125; a break below would confirm the downtrend, while resistance at 0.00135 is the invalidation zone.
Lower timeframes are still bullish/choppy, so expect possible short-term bounces before the bearish trend takes hold.

The SOL/BTC pair on the 4H timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum and trend indicators, including APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, and KAMA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence suggests a strong shift toward downward momentum, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes all bearish and aligned, while the 8H shows a very strong trend (4/5). The higher timeframe alignment reinforces the bearish case, even though the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish or choppy, indicating that the immediate pullback may be part of a larger correction.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.00125 and resistance at 0.00135. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the path for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal's immediate premise. Given the strong trend scores on the higher timeframes, the path of least resistance appears to be downward, but the bullish lower timeframes and potential for a bounce off support warrant caution. Traders should monitor price action relative to these levels for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend alignment across multiple higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) all bearish.
▼ Dense cluster of momentum indicators all pointing down, indicating high probability (77%) and strong signal strength.
▼ The 8H timeframe shows a very strong trend (4/5), providing solid underlying bearish momentum.
▼ Resistance at 0.00135 is nearby, offering a clear level to monitor for invalidation.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, which could lead to a temporary counter-trend bounce.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 0.00135, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The 2H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating some indecision in the medium term.
▲ Momentum could fade if the trend scores on higher timeframes weaken, so monitor for any shift in the 8H or 12H trend.