AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-19 13:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

0.98323

Target

0.97907 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98520 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % ↑ +20.4 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 34 % (10.50) ▼ Bearish 66 % (20.29)

model score 65.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.41
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.81
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.14
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.95
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30M chart with multiple indicators aligned.
Support at 0.98132 is the immediate downside target; watch for a break.
Resistance at 0.98518 is the invalidation level; a move above would negate the signal.
Higher timeframes (2H, 4H) support the trend, but shorter ones are choppy.

The AUD/CAD 30-minute signal is firmly bearish, with a confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators all firing in the same direction: BOP, CMO, RSI, and STOCHF all crossed below their midlines, while EMA 200, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, and MIDPOINT all retreated downward. This synchronized breakdown across multiple indicator families (momentum, trend, and candlestick) points to a strong, broad-based selling pressure in the near term. The signal's probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, suggesting high conviction in the immediate bearish move.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, though its quality varies. The 2-hour and 4-hour charts show a solid trend (3/5), providing the strongest support for the signal, while shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are choppy and sideways, indicating that the move may be in its early stages or facing some consolidation. The 8-hour trend is forming, but the 12-hour and 1-day trends are weak, which tempers the longer-term outlook. Key levels to watch: the nearest support at 0.98132 is the immediate downside target; a break below would confirm the bearish momentum, while resistance at 0.98518 is the invalidation level—a move above it would negate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all crossing down.
▼ Trend-following indicators (EMA 200, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MIDPOINT) all retreating.
▼ Solid bearish trend on 2H and 4H timeframes (3/5) provides stronger context.
▼ Signal probability at 100% and very strong strength indicates high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are choppy and sideways, suggesting possible consolidation.
▲ Weaker trends on 12H and 1D timeframes limit the longer-term bearish case.
▲ A move above 0.98518 (resistance) would invalidate the signal.
▲ Momentum could fade if the choppy price action persists.