AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-19 20:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

0.69778

Target

0.70132 +0.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69363 −0.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 92 % (35.79) ▼ Bearish 8 % (3.13)

model score 6.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.07
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.14

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

The AUD/USD 30-minute signal stack is overwhelmingly bullish, driven by a confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up signals improving buying pressure, while the STOCH KD Cross Up confirms short-term upside momentum. The DI and DM Cross Downs indicate a weakening of bearish directional movement, and the EMA 200, KAMA, and SMA 200 Retreat Ups show price pulling back to these dynamic supports, which often act as launchpads for continuation. The HT SINE Cross Down adds a cyclical component, suggesting a potential low is in place. This cluster of signals points to a short-term bounce or reversal within the broader context.

However, the alignment across timeframes is mixed. While the 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h charts are all bullish, the 15m and 30m (the signal's own timeframe) are still bearish, and the 12h and 1d are solidly bearish. This suggests the bullish signal is a counter-trend move against the higher-timeframe downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.69804 is the immediate hurdle; a break above it would validate the signal and open the path toward higher levels. Support at 0.69690 is the key invalidation zone—if price closes below this, the bullish setup fails. Traders should watch for a decisive move through resistance with volume to confirm the reversal.

Symbol AUD/USD

Timeframe 30M

Direction BUY

Conviction 6%

Strength WEAK

Date 2026-10-19 20:00

cat_ Forex Forex