GBP/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
1.33052
Target
1.32312 +0.56 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.33420 −0.28 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +25% Scalping
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.05) ▼ Bearish 97 % (40.75)
model score 97.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
GBP/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 98%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Double Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 3.41
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.68
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.32
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 1.05
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.03
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 0.77

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A Double Top pattern with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligning suggests a strong short-term bearish bias.
  • The daily trend is solidly bearish, but higher timeframes (4H-12H) remain bullish, so this is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend.
  • Watch the 1.33048 support; a break below it would confirm the sell signal, while a move back above 1.33420 resistance would negate it.
  • The signal is very strong (96% probability), but choppy conditions on the 30M and 1H timeframes mean tight risk management is essential.
The GBP/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, anchored by a Double Top chart pattern and reinforced by a wave of momentum and trend-following indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down signals deteriorating buying pressure, while the STOCHRSI KD Cross Down confirms fading upside momentum. The DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, and KAMA Retreat Down signals all point to price pulling back from elevated levels, with the WILLR OS Entry indicating an oversold condition that often follows a sharp move lower. This confluence of chart pattern, candlestick, and indicator groups gives the signal a very strong probability score of 96%.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish at the decision point. The 15-minute and 2-hour charts are bearish and trend forming, while the 30-minute and 1-hour are bearish but choppy. The daily chart is bearish with a solid trend, providing the macro backdrop. However, the 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes are bullish, which creates a counter-trend risk for this short-term sell. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 1.33420 and nearest support at 1.33048. A break below support would validate the downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple signal groups (chart pattern, indicator, candlestick) are firing simultaneously, creating strong confluence.
  • ▼ The daily timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, providing a broader backdrop for the short-term sell.
  • ▼ The Double Top is a classic reversal pattern, and the retreat down signals from several moving averages confirm the pullback.
  • ▼ The high probability score (96%) and very strong strength rating reflect the density of aligned signals.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are bullish, which could cap downside or cause a reversal if the higher trend reasserts.
  • ▲ The 30M and 1H trends are labeled 'choppy/sideways', indicating weak trend strength that could lead to false breakouts.
  • ▲ The STOCHRSI is already in oversold territory (WILLR OS Entry), which could mean the move is overextended and a bounce is due.
  • ▲ A break back above the 1.33420 resistance level would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol GBP/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-19 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.33420 2026-10-19
R2 1.33717 2026-10-16
S1 1.33048 2026-10-19
S2 1.32312 2026-10-15
S3 1.31369 2026-10-14

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