BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-19 18:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.15 %

Entry

81,831.93

Target

80,684.36 +1.40 %

closes in profit

Stop

83,158.00 −1.62 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 9,954 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,954 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.12 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −6.9 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 18 % (4.48) ▼ Bearish 82 % (19.80)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 18:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.15
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.17

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on 30M with multiple indicator confirmations and an 81% probability.
All major timeframes lean bearish, though the trend is choppy on 15m, 2h, and 12h—so expect possible consolidation.
Key downside target is support at 80684.36; a break could accelerate the selloff.
Resistance at 83158.00 is the immediate hurdle for any bounce attempt.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, DEMA/EMA/MAMA Retreat Downs, a T3 Break Down, and a midpoint/midprice retreat, alongside additional signals. These indicators collectively point to a strong, momentum-driven selloff in the very near term, with the 81% probability and strong strength rating suggesting a high conviction in the move. The bearish tone is consistent across all monitored timeframes, from the 15-minute up to the daily, though the trend is most pronounced on the 4-hour chart, where it scores a solid 3/5. This alignment across timeframes reinforces the validity of the short-term bearish push, with the 30-minute and 1-hour charts both showing trend formation.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 83158.00 and support at 80684.36. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance could signal a reversal. However, the trend on several higher timeframes (15m, 2h, 12h) remains choppy or sideways, indicating that the current down move may face some consolidation. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as a failure to hold support could lead to extended losses; conversely, a bounce from support could trigger a short-term correction.

Catalysts

▼ Broad bearish alignment across timeframes, with the 4H showing a solid trend.
▼ Confluence of multiple moving-average retreats and a T3 break down confirms momentum.
▼ StochRSI cross down adds short-term oversold pressure, reinforcing the downward move.
▼ Strong overall signal strength and high probability suggest market conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe choppiness (15m, 2h, 12h) may limit follow-through and trigger a bounce.
▲ A reclaim of resistance at 83158.00 would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.
▲ Momentum indicators could become oversold quickly, leading to a snap-back rally.
▲ Watch for a failure to break below support—bullish rejection could reverse the trend.