EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW
56 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %
Entry
177.715
Target
178.362 +0.36 %
closes in profit
Stop
176.660 −0.59 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,038 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,038 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.38 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 94 % (24.45) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.56)
model score 94.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 18.8 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 503 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.27
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.26
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.19
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.11
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.04
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.91
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.77
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 1.74
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.56
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 1.04
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 0.97
▲ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the 1H timeframe, but higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend bounce.
  • Key levels: resistance at 177.968 and support at 176.660; watch for a break of either to confirm or invalidate the move.
  • Multiple retreat indicators and a BOP zero cross up suggest a coordinated shift in short-term momentum.
  • The choppy/sideways trend on lower timeframes (15m-1h) indicates low conviction; expect possible whipsaw.
The EUR/JPY 1H signal is strongly bullish (94% probability, very strong) driven by a broad cluster of retreat-based indicators (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA) plus a BOP Zero Cross Up and a STOCH KD Cross Down. This suggests that after a prior bearish move, price has pulled back into a zone where multiple moving averages and trendlines are now sloping upward, and the balance of power has flipped in favor of buyers. The confluence of eight retreat signals within the same hour points to a coordinated shift in momentum, likely reflecting a short-term bounce off support.

However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bearish: the 2H through 1D all show bearish trends, with the 12H at a solid 3/5 trend score. This creates a clear conflict between the bullish 1H setup and the larger downtrend. The 1H signal appears to be a counter-trend correction within a broader bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 177.968 is a critical hurdle; a failure to break above it would likely invalidate the bullish case. Conversely, the nearest support at 176.660 marks the level that must hold to keep the bounce alive. Traders should watch for a decisive close above the resistance to confirm the bullish shift, or a break below support to signal that the higher timeframe bearish pressure has reasserted itself.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of eight retreat-based indicators on the 1H timeframe, all pointing to an upward pullback.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up signals a shift in buying pressure, supporting the bullish case.
  • ▲ Nearest support at 176.660 is relatively close, providing a clear invalidation level that has not been tested.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (2H-1D) are bearish, with the 12H at a solid 3/5 trend, suggesting the larger trend is down.
  • ▼ The 1H signal may be a short-lived counter-trend move; if price fails to clear 177.968, the bullish case weakens.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways trends on 15m-1h indicate low trend strength (1/5), so momentum could easily stall.
  • ▼ A break below 176.660 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the bearish trend.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-19 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.96800 2026-10-16
S1 176.66000 2026-10-19
S2 176.29800 2026-10-14

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