EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.05 %
Entry
1.12127
Target
1.11865 +0.23 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12696 −0.51 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, SMA 50 Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −11.6 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 12 % (3.81) ▼ Bearish 88 % (27.91)
model score 5.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/USD  ·  30M
Loading…
Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 5%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.61
▼ SMA 50 Break Down indicator 2.59
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.28
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 1.92
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.65
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.53
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.07

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 30M chart points to a strong short-term sell setup.
  • Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, aligning with the signal direction.
  • Watch the 1.11865 support; a break below would confirm the bearish continuation.
  • Resistance at 1.12347 is the invalidation zone; a reclaim would negate the signal.
The 30M EUR/USD signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and a WILLR OB Exit, alongside multiple moving-average breakouts (BBANDS MIDDLE, SMA 50, KAMA, MAMA). This confluence suggests a broad-based momentum shift to the downside on the trading timeframe, with price action confirming the breakdown of key dynamic levels. The alignment across timeframes is strongly supportive: while the 15m through 4h timeframes are choppy and sideways, the 8h trend is forming, the 12h shows a solid downtrend, and the 1d trend is very strong. This implies that the short-term noise is occurring within a larger bearish context, increasing the probability of the sell signal playing out.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.12347 and support at 1.11865. A sustained break below the support would confirm the continuation of the bearish move, while a reclaim of the resistance would signal a potential invalidation. The very strong probability (88%) and the breadth of indicators give high conviction, but traders should remain alert to any signs of fading momentum or a higher-timeframe conflict.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum and trend indicators (CMO, RSI, WILLR, BIAS) all crossed below key thresholds simultaneously.
  • ▼ Price broke below several moving averages (BBANDS, SMA 50, KAMA, MAMA), confirming the bearish shift.
  • ▼ The 1D timeframe shows a very strong trend (4/5), providing a solid macro backdrop.
  • ▼ The 12H timeframe is in a solid downtrend (3/5), supporting the medium-term bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m-4h timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term whipsaws.
  • ▲ A move back above the 1.12347 resistance would invalidate the sell signal.
  • ▲ If momentum fades (e.g., RSI or CMO flattening), the selloff could stall.
  • ▲ Watch for a higher-timeframe conflict if the 8H trend weakens or reverses.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-19 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12347 2026-10-19
R2 1.12696 2026-10-16
S1 1.11865 2026-10-19
S2 1.11806 2026-10-19
S3 1.11129 2026-10-14

Tags

Similar Signals