LUN/CUSDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-19 05:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.17 %

Entry

0.00004635

Target

0.00004913 +6.00 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004447 −4.06 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,735 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,735 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSX OB Exit, STOCH OS Exit, HMA Direction Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

37.9 % ↓ −29.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (14.96) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 8.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.0 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 31.5 % vs 21.7 % (crypto, 1,675 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 05:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	2.37
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.33
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.11
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.05
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term momentum is turning bullish on the 30M, but the higher timeframes are strongly bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move.
Watch the 0.00005 resistance: a clean break would strengthen the reversal case, while rejection would likely resume the downtrend.
The 0.00004 support is the invalidation level—if price closes below it, the bullish signal is void.
The confluence of oversold momentum exits and a Northern Doji adds weight, but the bearish Harami Cross warns of possible continuation.

The 30-minute LUN/CUSDT signal fires a cluster of momentum and candlestick indicators that collectively point to a short-term bullish reversal attempt. The CCI Zero Cross Down, STOCH OS Exit, and RSX OB Exit all confirm that the recent downside pressure has stalled and that momentum is turning upward from oversold conditions. The HMA Direction Up adds trend confirmation on the immediate timeframe, while the Northern Doji and Bearish Harami Cross candlestick patterns suggest a potential shift in market structure, with the Northern Doji signaling a possible reversal and the Bearish Harami Cross indicating a pause in the prior downtrend.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are bullish, they are only trend forming (2/5), and all higher timeframes from 1-hour up to 1-day remain bearish, with the 8-hour and 12-hour timeframes showing very strong bearish trends (4/5). This creates a clear conflict: the short-term reversal is swimming against a dominant longer-term downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.00005 is a key barrier that must be reclaimed to validate the reversal; failure to break it would likely leave the pair vulnerable to renewed selling pressure. The nearest support at 0.00004 is the critical invalidation zone—if price falls below it, the bullish signal would be negated.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, STOCH, RSX) exiting oversold conditions simultaneously on the 30M.
▲ HMA Direction Up confirms the immediate trend shift, aligning with the 15M bullish bias.
▲ The Northern Doji pattern suggests a potential reversal from a downtrend, adding candlestick confluence.
▲ The 30M and 15M timeframes both show bullish trend formation, supporting the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▼ The 8H and 12H timeframes show very strong bearish trends (4/5), which could easily overwhelm a short-term reversal.
▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are bearish, with the 2H choppy/sideways, offering no higher-timeframe support.
▼ The Bearish Harami Cross is a bearish continuation pattern, suggesting the prior downtrend may still have legs.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.00005 is close and likely to act as a magnet; failure to break it would invalidate the bullish case.