SOL/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %
Entry
0.001281
Target
0.001264 +1.33 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.001289 −0.64 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 9,954 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,954 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.12 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
37.9 % ↓ −11.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +13% Scalping
▲ Bullish 35 % (6.29) ▼ Bearish 65 % (11.69)
model score 8.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
SOL/BTC  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 8%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 23:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.23
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.82
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.58
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.48
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 1.38
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 1.24
▼ KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.05
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 1.04

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signal on 30M with 65% probability, but higher timeframes are also bearish, adding weight.
  • Watch the 0.00129 resistance: a break above invalidates the signal; a move below 0.00126 support confirms the downtrend.
  • Mixed lower timeframe trends (bullish on 15M-1H) suggest the bearish move may need confirmation; wait for the 30M trend to turn bearish.
  • Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR) align for a sell, but the candlestick patterns add a cautionary note.
The SOL/BTC pair on the 30-minute timeframe is flashing a bearish signal, with a 65% probability and moderate strength. This is supported by a confluence of indicators: the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit all point to weakening buying pressure and a shift toward selling. The Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 24% and the Keltner Upper Retreat reinforce the downside momentum, while the Dragonfly Doji and other candlestick patterns suggest a potential reversal from recent highs. The signal fires as the pair trades near resistance at 0.00129, with support at 0.00126, making these levels critical for confirmation.

Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed but leans bearish on higher timeframes. The 4H, 8H, and 12H charts are all bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong trend (4/5), which supports the 30M signal. However, the 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes are still bullish, albeit choppy, indicating that the immediate trend is not yet fully aligned. This suggests that the bearish move may be in its early stages on lower timeframes, and traders should watch for the 30M trend to flip bearish to confirm the signal. The nearest resistance at 0.00129 is a key invalidation level; a break above it would negate the bearish thesis, while a move below support at 0.00126 could accelerate the decline.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 4H, 8H, 12H all bearish, with 8H very strong (4/5).
  • ▼ Confluence of indicators: BOP, STOCH, WILLR, and Fibonacci all pointing down.
  • ▼ Price near resistance at 0.00129, providing a clear invalidation level.
  • ▼ Keltner Upper Retreat suggests rejection from upper band, often a precursor to downside.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15M-1H) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce before the bearish move takes hold.
  • ▲ The 30M trend is only 1/5 bearish (choppy), so momentum may be weak; the signal could be early.
  • ▲ A break above 0.00129 resistance would invalidate the signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ The Dragonfly Doji often signals a potential reversal; if it holds, it could stall the sell-off.
Symbol SOL/BTC
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-19 22:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00129 2026-10-17
R2 0.00130 2026-10-16
S1 0.00126 2026-10-19
S2 0.00124 2026-10-18

Tags

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