AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
56 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
0.98632
Target
0.98814 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98114 −0.53 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Break Up, Trendline Break Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.7 % ↓ −21.3 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 95 % (36.28) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.73)
model score 26.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.3 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 528 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ BBANDS UPPER Break Up indicator 3.41
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.97
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.25
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.20
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.14
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 2.09
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.04
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.98
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.88
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.79
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.39
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.07
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.96
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 0.95
▼ Three Line Strike - Bearish candlestick 0.83

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 30M chart points to a strong short-term buy opportunity.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) remain bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move until they flip.
  • The nearest support at 0.98114 is the key invalidation level to monitor.
  • Choppy/sideways action across lower timeframes suggests the rally may lack follow-through.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and confirmed by momentum oscillators (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up) and volatility-based breakouts (BBANDS UPPER Break Up). The retreat of DEMA, EMA, and HT TRENDLINE further supports a shift toward short-term upside. With 95% probability and very strong strength, the immediate bias is clearly bullish, but the broader context tempers this enthusiasm: while the 15m through 2h timeframes are all bullish, they are choppy and sideways (1/5 trend score), indicating a lack of directional conviction. Meanwhile, the 4h and 8h timeframes remain bearish and forming a trend, suggesting this 30M move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest support sits at 0.98114, a level that could act as a pivot if the rally fails. Traders should watch for a sustained push above recent highs and a shift in higher-timeframe bias to confirm the move; otherwise, the rally may stall against the bearish macro structure.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple signal types (trendline, momentum, volatility) all firing bullish simultaneously.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across 15M to 2H timeframes, all bullish, supports a near-term upward push.
  • ▲ Strong signal strength (95% probability) and very strong rating increase confidence in the move.
  • ▲ Retreat of key moving averages (DEMA, EMA) and HT TRENDLINE reinforces the bullish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are bearish, which could cap the upside and turn this into a counter-trend bounce.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways price action on lower timeframes indicates weak directional conviction, risking a false breakout.
  • ▼ If price falls below the 0.98114 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and the bearish trend may resume.
  • ▼ Momentum oscillators may fade quickly given the 1/5 trend score, so the rally could stall without follow-through.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 27%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 0.98114 2026-10-20
S2 0.97907 2026-10-15

Tags

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