AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.10 %
Entry
0.98696
Target
0.98262 +0.44 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99183 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, TSI Signal Cross Down, AO Saucer Bearish +9 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 581 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 7%
conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 1.81
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.74
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.69
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.59
▼ TEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.57
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 1.50
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 1.48
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.17
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.01
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.01
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.00
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 0.78

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 30M chart signals a strong short-term sell opportunity.
  • Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, aligning with the 30M signal, while lower timeframes are only weakly bullish.
  • Key levels: support at 0.98262 and resistance at 0.98806; watch for a break below support to confirm the downtrend.
  • The signal has very strong strength and 90% probability, but conflicting lower timeframe trends warrant caution.
The 30-minute AUD/CAD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including MACD Signal Cross Down, T3 Break Down, TEMA Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, AO Saucer Bearish, ER Level Cross Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, and KDJ Cross Down, among others. This confluence of momentum, trend, and oscillator indicators points to a strong short-term bearish shift. Despite the higher timeframes (15m to 4h) still printing bullish trend scores, the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, suggesting that the immediate sell signal may be the leading edge of a broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.98806 and support at 0.98262 frame the current price action; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Traders should note that the bullish trend scores on the lower timeframes are weak (2/5) and choppy, indicating that the recent uptrend lacks conviction. The alignment of bearish signals on the 30M chart with the bearish higher timeframes (8h and above) strengthens the case for a sell. However, the mixed signals across timeframes—bullish on 15m through 4h—create a conflict that could lead to consolidation or a bounce. Key levels to watch are the immediate support at 0.98262 and resistance at 0.98806; a decisive break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support could see a retest of resistance. The very strong probability (90%) and high signal count suggest a high-conviction setup, but traders should manage risk given the conflicting higher timeframe bias.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple oscillators (MACD, KDJ, AO, ERI) all crossing bearish simultaneously, creating strong confluence.
  • ▼ Bearish trend on 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes supports the 30M sell signal, suggesting a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ The T3 Break Down and TEMA Retreat Down indicate a clear loss of upside momentum on the 30M chart.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.98806 is close, providing a potential entry point for sellers if price approaches it.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 4h) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or consolidation before any decline.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.98806, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the trend could reverse.
  • ▲ The choppy/sideways trend scores on 2h, 12h, and 1d suggest a lack of clear direction, increasing the chance of false signals.
  • ▲ The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up is a bullish signal within the bearish cluster, indicating potential internal conflict.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98806 2026-10-21
S1 0.98262 2026-10-21
S2 0.98114 2026-10-20

Tags

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