AUD/CAD – 8H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.28 %
Entry
0.98849
Target
0.99757 +0.92 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.97907 −0.95 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Hist Hidden Bull Div, Momentum Hidden Bull Div, SAR Flip Bullish +14 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Swing
▲ Bullish 94 % (37.17) ▼ Bearish 6 % (2.24)
model score 94.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 8 candles
AUD/CAD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 8h 94%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MACD Hist Hidden Bull Div divergence 3.01
▲ Momentum Hidden Bull Div divergence 2.42
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.36
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.29
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.28
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.08
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 2.06
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 1.97
▲ TEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 1.77
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.76
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.58
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.58
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.29
▼ KDJ OB Entry indicator 1.28
▲ Marubozu Bullish candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 8H with 97% probability, backed by multiple indicator confirmations.
  • Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are still bearish, so the move could be a counter-trend rally.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.99757, support at 0.97907. Watch for a break above resistance or loss of support.
  • Lower timeframes show early bullish formation, but trend scores are low (2/5), indicating the move is still developing.
The AUD/CAD 8H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, with a 97% probability and very strong strength. The confluence includes CMO Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and multiple moving average breakouts (BBANDS, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT), plus a SAR flip to bullish. This broad alignment across indicator, candlestick, fibonacci, and divergence groups suggests a robust shift in momentum on the 8H timeframe. However, the higher timeframes (12H and 1D) remain bearish and choppy, indicating that this 8H signal may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.99757 is a key hurdle; a break above it could confirm the bullish move, while failure to hold above support at 0.97907 would invalidate the signal.

The trend across lower timeframes (15m to 4H) is uniformly bullish but only forming (2/5), suggesting early-stage momentum. The 8H timeframe itself is still bearish in trend, but the signal strength implies a possible trend reversal in progress. Traders should watch for the 8H trend to flip bullish and for the 12H/1D to at least stabilize. The key levels to monitor are the resistance at 0.99757 and support at 0.97907. A close above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below support would signal failure. The signal's high probability is supported by the sheer number of confirmations, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend and the early stage of lower timeframe trends introduce caution.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple signal groups (indicator, candlestick, fibonacci, divergence) on the 8H timeframe.
  • ▲ Strong trend scores and very strong signal strength (97% probability) suggest high conviction.
  • ▲ Breakouts above several moving averages (BBANDS, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) indicate momentum shift.
  • ▲ SAR flip to bullish adds confirmation of a potential trend change.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are bearish and choppy, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ Lower timeframe trends are still forming (2/5), so the bullish move may lack follow-through.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.99757 is a nearby hurdle; failure to break it could stall the move.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 0.97907, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-21 05:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99757 2026-10-09
R2 0.99962 2026-09-21
S1 0.97907 2026-10-15
S2 0.97794 2026-08-20

Tags

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