AUD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.73 %
Entry
111.173
Target
111.717 +0.49 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.361 −0.73 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Cup & Handle, Ascending Triangle, ALMA Break Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 2h 7%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Cup & Handlebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.69
▲ Ascending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.16
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.97
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.91
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.83
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.83
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.81
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.78
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.77
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.72
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.72
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.71
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.40
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 2.03
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 2.03

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bullish confluence on the 2H chart: Cup & Handle plus Ascending Triangle, backed by 12+ momentum and trend indicators.
  • Trend is still forming on the 1H-4H timeframes, so expect possible chop; the signal is early-stage, not a breakout confirmation.
  • Key support to watch is 110.36100—a close below would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • No immediate resistance is defined, so upside is open, but higher-timeframe trend (daily bearish) argues for caution.
The AUD/JPY 2-hour signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish patterns—Cup & Handle and Ascending Triangle on the chart, reinforced by a cascade of momentum and trend-following indicators (STOCH KD Cross Up, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA Retreats, plus seven more). The very strong probability (96%) reflects exceptional confluence: multiple independent pattern families (chart structure, moving-average retreats, stochastic cross) all pointing the same direction on the 2H timeframe. However, the broader trend picture is mixed—while the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes are showing trend formation (2/5), the 15m, 30m, 8h, and 12h are choppy/sideways (1/5), and the daily is bearish. This suggests the bullish setup is still in its early stages, with the nearest support at 110.36100 acting as the key invalidation reference, while no immediate resistance is defined, implying open upside but also less certainty about where the move may stall.

Traders should treat this as a high-conviction, early-stage bullish signal. The alignment of multiple indicators on the 2H chart is compelling, but the lack of higher-timeframe bullish confirmation and the choppy lower timeframes argue for patience. A break and hold above the recent highs would confirm the pattern, while a move below 110.36100 would invalidate the bullish thesis. Watch for the daily timeframe to shift from bearish to neutral or bullish as a corroborating factor.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Chart patterns (Cup & Handle, Ascending Triangle) provide classic bullish continuation/reversal structures.
  • ▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) show strong trend alignment on the 2H timeframe.
  • ▲ STOCH KD Cross Up adds momentum confirmation, increasing the probability score to 96%.
  • ▲ Trend formation on 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes shows early-stage bullish development.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Daily timeframe is bearish (2/5), which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are choppy/sideways, indicating low momentum and possible false starts.
  • ▼ No defined resistance level means the move could stall at any prior supply zone; watch for rejection.
  • ▼ Invalidation is below 110.36100—a break there would negate the bullish patterns.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 110.36100 2026-10-20
S2 108.63400 2026-10-15

Tags

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