AUD/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY 4× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Cup & Handle, Ascending Triangle, ALMA Break Up +11 more
Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Cup & Handlebreak + retest | chart_pattern | 3.69 |
| ▲ | Ascending Trianglebreak + retest | chart_pattern | 3.16 |
| ▲ | ALMA Break Up | indicator | 2.97 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.91 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.83 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.83 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.81 |
| ▲ | HMA Break Up | indicator | 2.78 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.77 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.72 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.72 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.71 |
| ▲ | T3 Break Up | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 2.03 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A very strong bullish confluence on the 2H chart: Cup & Handle plus Ascending Triangle, backed by 12+ momentum and trend indicators.
- Trend is still forming on the 1H-4H timeframes, so expect possible chop; the signal is early-stage, not a breakout confirmation.
- Key support to watch is 110.36100—a close below would invalidate the bullish setup.
- No immediate resistance is defined, so upside is open, but higher-timeframe trend (daily bearish) argues for caution.
Traders should treat this as a high-conviction, early-stage bullish signal. The alignment of multiple indicators on the 2H chart is compelling, but the lack of higher-timeframe bullish confirmation and the choppy lower timeframes argue for patience. A break and hold above the recent highs would confirm the pattern, while a move below 110.36100 would invalidate the bullish thesis. Watch for the daily timeframe to shift from bearish to neutral or bullish as a corroborating factor.
- ▲ Chart patterns (Cup & Handle, Ascending Triangle) provide classic bullish continuation/reversal structures.
- ▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) show strong trend alignment on the 2H timeframe.
- ▲ STOCH KD Cross Up adds momentum confirmation, increasing the probability score to 96%.
- ▲ Trend formation on 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes shows early-stage bullish development.
- ▼ Daily timeframe is bearish (2/5), which could cap upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are choppy/sideways, indicating low momentum and possible false starts.
- ▼ No defined resistance level means the move could stall at any prior supply zone; watch for rejection.
- ▼ Invalidation is below 110.36100—a break there would negate the bullish patterns.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 110.36100 | 2026-10-20 |
| S2 | 108.63400 | 2026-10-15 |