AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.64 %
Entry
111.071
Target
110.361 +0.64 %
closes in profit
Stop
112.510 −1.30 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 10 × 2h 93%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.83
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.66
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.08
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.85

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong 2H bearish signal with multiple confirmations suggests a likely pullback or reversal.
  • The nearest resistance at 111.13300 is the immediate ceiling; a rejection here supports the sell thesis.
  • The nearest support at 110.36100 is the key downside level; a break below could accelerate selling.
  • Higher timeframes are bullish, so the bearish signal may be a counter-trend move — trade with caution.
The AUD/JPY 2H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators — BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, plus a Bearish Engulfing and Tweezers Top — all converging on the 2H timeframe. This is a strong, high-probability sell signal (76%) that suggests momentum is shifting lower after a bullish run. The nearest resistance at 111.13300 is the immediate barrier; a failure to hold above it would confirm the bearish reversal. The nearest support at 110.36100 is the key downside target and invalidation zone if broken with force.

However, the higher timeframes are mostly bullish, with the 4H and 1H showing trend-forming bullishness. This creates a conflict: the 2H bearish signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe trend. The 1D is bearish but only trend-forming, offering some alignment. For the signal to play out, the 2H bearish momentum must overcome the bullish bias from the 4H and 1H. Traders should watch for a break below the 2H support to confirm the shift, but be wary of a bounce if the higher timeframes reassert control.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators align on the 2H timeframe, increasing signal reliability.
  • ▼ Bearish Engulfing and Tweezers Top candlestick patterns add confluence for a reversal.
  • ▼ The 1D timeframe shows bearish trend-forming, offering some higher-timeframe support.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength (76%) and a dense cluster of indicators suggest momentum is shifting.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 1H) are bullish and trend-forming, which could override the 2H bearish signal.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 111.13300 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ The 15m–8h timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating low momentum that could lead to a false signal.
  • ▲ If the 2H support at 110.36100 holds, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-21 11:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.13300 2026-10-14
S1 110.36100 2026-10-20
S2 108.63400 2026-10-15

Tags

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