AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down +3 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 2.83 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.08 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.85 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A strong 2H bearish signal with multiple confirmations suggests a likely pullback or reversal.
- The nearest resistance at 111.13300 is the immediate ceiling; a rejection here supports the sell thesis.
- The nearest support at 110.36100 is the key downside level; a break below could accelerate selling.
- Higher timeframes are bullish, so the bearish signal may be a counter-trend move — trade with caution.
However, the higher timeframes are mostly bullish, with the 4H and 1H showing trend-forming bullishness. This creates a conflict: the 2H bearish signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe trend. The 1D is bearish but only trend-forming, offering some alignment. For the signal to play out, the 2H bearish momentum must overcome the bullish bias from the 4H and 1H. Traders should watch for a break below the 2H support to confirm the shift, but be wary of a bounce if the higher timeframes reassert control.
- ▼ Multiple indicators align on the 2H timeframe, increasing signal reliability.
- ▼ Bearish Engulfing and Tweezers Top candlestick patterns add confluence for a reversal.
- ▼ The 1D timeframe shows bearish trend-forming, offering some higher-timeframe support.
- ▼ Strong signal strength (76%) and a dense cluster of indicators suggest momentum is shifting.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 1H) are bullish and trend-forming, which could override the 2H bearish signal.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 111.13300 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The 15m–8h timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating low momentum that could lead to a false signal.
- ▲ If the 2H support at 110.36100 holds, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.13300 | 2026-10-14 |
| S1 | 110.36100 | 2026-10-20 |
| S2 | 108.63400 | 2026-10-15 |