AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
57 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %
Entry
111.046
Target
111.263 +0.20 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.361 −0.62 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Rectangle, KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout +14 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
46.9 % ↓ −14.1 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 98 % (77.08) ▼ Bearish 2 % (1.96)
model score 37.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Rectanglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.49
▲ KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.93
▲ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.48
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.29
▲ BBANDS UPPER Break Up indicator 2.16
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.16
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.13
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.09
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.07
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.03
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.53
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.23
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.20
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.16
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High indicator 1.00
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.96

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart with 97% probability and very strong strength.
  • Breakout above a rectangle pattern and trendline adds technical confluence.
  • Support at 110.36100 is the key level to hold; no immediate resistance overhead.
  • Higher timeframes (8h, 1d) are bearish, so watch for potential trend conflict.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a Rectangle pattern breakout, with confirmation from BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry. The break above the upper band (BBANDS UPPER Break Up) and the DEMA/EMA Retreat Up further underscore the upside momentum. The signal probability is 97% with very strong strength, reflecting a high-conviction setup across multiple signal groups (trendline, chart pattern, candlestick, indicator), though the broader trend context is mixed.

Across timeframes, the bullish case is strongest on the 2-hour (trend forming) and 1-hour (bullish) charts, while the 30-minute and 15-minute are bullish but choppy. However, the 8-hour and 1-day timeframes are bearish, which introduces a conflicting higher-timeframe headwind. The nearest support is at 110.36100, and there is no nearby resistance, suggesting room to run if the move sustains. The key is whether the bullish momentum can overcome the bearish higher-timeframe bias and hold above support.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish signals from different groups (trendline, pattern, candlestick, indicator) align.
  • ▲ Break above the upper Bollinger Band indicates strong upward momentum.
  • ▲ 2-hour and 1-hour timeframes are bullish and forming a trend, supporting the move.
  • ▲ No nearby resistance suggests limited overhead barriers.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8h and 1d) are bearish, which could pull the pair lower.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways action on most timeframes may limit follow-through.
  • ▼ A break below the 110.36100 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ The 1/5 trend score on several timeframes indicates weak trend strength despite the signal.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 37%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 110.36100 2026-10-20
S2 109.62800 2026-10-16
S3 109.13600 2026-10-16

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