AUD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 05:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −1.03 %

Entry

111.131

Target

112.613 +1.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.634 −2.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.75
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.55
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.54
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.24
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.13
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.95
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.90
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.89
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.88
▲	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signal on 4H with multiple indicators aligning (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, and moving average retreats).
Trend is bullish across most timeframes, but choppy on lower ones; 2H and 4H show a forming trend.
Key levels: resistance at 111.13300, support at 108.63400; watch for breakouts or breakdowns.
Conflicting bearish daily trend is a risk; monitor momentum and price action near support.

The AUD/JPY 4H signal is bullish, firing a cluster of indicators that align on momentum and trend direction. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up suggest buying pressure, while the WILLR OB Entry indicates oversold conditions that may be correcting. The retreat of the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, along with the DEMA, EMA, and MIDPOINT retreats up, points to a pullback within an uptrend, offering a potential entry at a lower point. The confluence of these signals across multiple indicator groups (candlestick, indicator, indicator3) strengthens the bullish case.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bullish from 15m up to 8h, though the trend is choppy and sideways on the lower timeframes, with only the 2H and 4H showing a forming trend. The 1D timeframe is bearish and forming, which presents a conflicting higher-timeframe pressure. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 111.13300 and support at 108.63400. A break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum, while a move below support would invalidate the signal. The moderate strength and 72% probability suggest a tradable signal, but caution is advised given the choppy lower timeframes and the bearish daily trend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators fire in the same direction, increasing confluence.
▲ Bullish bias across all timeframes from 15m to 8h, with trend forming on 2H and 4H.
▲ WILLR OB Entry suggests oversold conditions that may revert to the upside.
▲ Retreats of moving averages (DEMA, EMA, MIDPOINT) indicate a pullback within an uptrend, offering a potential entry.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe (1D) is bearish, which could override the bullish momentum.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are choppy and sideways, indicating weak trend strength.
▼ Nearest support at 108.63400 is far; a drop below it would invalidate the signal.
▼ Momentum may fade if the retreats continue and price fails to hold above key levels.