AUD/JPY – 8H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-21 05:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.65 %

Entry

111.071

Target

112.613 +1.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.634 −2.19 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Regular Bull Div, AO Regular Bull Div, Momentum Regular Bull Div +13 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +16% Swing

▲ Bullish 86 % (27.80) ▼ Bearish 14 % (4.41)

model score 86.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.87
▲	AO Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.73
▲	Momentum Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.67
▲	RSI Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.55
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.21
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.14
▲	SUPERTREND Flip Bullish	indicator	2.01
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	1.96
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.42

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal on the 8H with 96% probability, driven by a cluster of moving-average retreats and a stochastic cross up.
The 2H timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5), reinforcing the 8H signal, but the 1D is still bearish—so expect potential resistance overhead.
Key levels: resistance at 111.13300, support at 108.63400. A break above resistance could extend the move; losing support invalidates the signal.
The STOCHRSI KD Cross Down adds a divergence nuance—watch for RSI to confirm the bullish momentum rather than fade.

The AUD/JPY 8H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish indicators, headlined by a STOCH KD Cross Up and a STOCHRSI KD Cross Down—the latter suggesting a bearish divergence in the RSI that may be fading, adding contrarian weight to the upside. The broad retreat of multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) off a trendline, plus the HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, points to a coordinated pullback that is now reversing. With 96% probability and very strong strength, the signal is exceptionally robust, but it must be read against the mixed higher-timeframe backdrop.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from 15m up to 12H, though choppiness dominates the lower and the 8H/12H frames, while the 2H shows a solid trend (3/5). The 1D is still bearish and forming (2/5), which is the primary counterweight. The nearest resistance at 111.13300 is the immediate target; a break would open the path toward the daily bearish structure. Support at 108.63400 is the critical invalidation zone—a loss of that level would negate the bullish thesis. The confluence of so many indicators on the 8H, aligned with the 2H solid trend, argues for a strong move, but traders should respect the daily bearish bias and watch for momentum stalls at resistance.

Catalysts

▲ Overwhelming confluence of 15+ indicators all pointing bullish on the 8H, including multiple moving-average retreats and a trendline retreat.
▲ Trend alignment from 15m through 12H is bullish, with the 2H showing a solid trend (3/5) that supports the signal's strength.
▲ The stochastic cross up and RSI divergence cross down together suggest a momentum shift that often precedes upward price movement.
▲ High probability (96%) and very strong strength signal, indicating high confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1D timeframe is still bearish (2/5), which could cap the upside or trigger a reversal if the daily trend reasserts.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 8H and 12H (1/5) mean the signal may lack sustained momentum, leading to false starts.
▼ Nearest resistance at 111.13300 is a likely rejection point; failure to break it could lead to a pullback toward support.
▼ If price falls below 108.63400, the bullish thesis is invalidated—watch that level closely for a stop-loss trigger.