AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 09:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.08 %

Entry

0.70256

Target

0.69707 +0.78 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70936 −0.97 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.20
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.03
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.01
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.92
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators fires on the 1H, signaling a potential short-term reversal.
The signal is counter-trend against the bullish 1H-12H timeframes but aligns with the bearish 1D trend.
The nearest support at 0.69707 is the key invalidation level; a break below would confirm the bearish move.
Candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Spinning Top, Tweezers Top) add confluence to the indicator-based signals.

The AUD/USD 1H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators — BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Up, HMA Retreat Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, Bearish Engulfing, Spinning Top Bearish, and Tweezers Top — all converging at 2026-10-21 14:00 UTC. This multi-indicator confluence suggests a strong short-term reversal attempt, with the candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Spinning Top, Tweezers Top) confirming a shift in momentum at the current price zone. The signal probability of 78% and strong strength reflect the alignment of these patterns, but the broader trend context is more nuanced.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish from 15m through 12h, with solid trends on 1H and 2H (3/5) and forming trends elsewhere, while the 1D trend is bearish (3/5). This creates a conflict: the signal is counter-trend against the higher intraday timeframes (1H-12H), but aligns with the daily bearish bias. The nearest support at 0.69707 is the key level to watch — a break below would confirm the bearish signal and potentially open the door to the daily downtrend. Resistance is not defined, so the immediate focus is on whether sellers can drive price through support. The signal's strength suggests near-term downside, but the bullish intraday trend may provide a floor, making the 0.69707 level critical for validation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator types (BOP, STOCHF, HT SINE, HMA, KELTNER) align in the same direction, increasing signal reliability.
▼ Candlestick patterns confirm the reversal, providing price-action confluence.
▼ The daily timeframe is bearish, offering longer-term alignment for the sell signal.
▼ Strong signal strength (78% probability) suggests high conviction among the indicators.

Risk Factors

▲ The intraday trend (1H-12H) is bullish, which may absorb or reverse the bearish pressure.
▲ The 8H trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction that could lead to false signals.
▲ If price fails to break below 0.69707, the bearish signal may be invalidated, and the bullish intraday trend could resume.
▲ The absence of a defined resistance level means the signal is not near a strong barrier, reducing the likelihood of a sharp rejection.