AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 11× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.07 %
Entry
0.70336
Target
0.70465 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69933 −0.57 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 18%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Ascending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.87
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.16
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.15
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.87
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.54

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A 30-minute bullish signal with very strong probability, backed by a chart pattern and multiple indicators.
  • The Ascending Triangle and retreat signals suggest a bullish continuation after a pullback.
  • Support at 0.69933 is the key invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish case.
  • Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are aligned bullish, but the daily trend is bearish, creating a conflict.
The AUD/USD 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, supported by a dense cluster of indicators. The Ascending Triangle pattern on the chart suggests a period of consolidation with higher lows, which often precedes a breakout to the upside. This is corroborated by a suite of moving average and trendline retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA), all indicating that price is pulling back into a zone of support defined by these dynamic levels, a classic setup for a continuation move. The stochastic oscillators (STOCH and STOCHF) show a cross down and cross up respectively, which may seem contradictory, but in this context they likely reflect a short-term pullback within a larger bullish structure, with the cross up signaling fresh upside momentum. The BOP (Balance of Power) zero cross up adds to the bullish case by showing that buying pressure has overtaken selling pressure.

Trend alignment is strong across the lower timeframes, with 15m through 2h all showing solid bullish trends (3/5). The 4h and 12h are trend-forming (2/5), indicating that the higher timeframes are beginning to turn in favor of the bulls. However, the 8h is choppy/sideways, and the 1d is solidly bearish, which introduces a significant headwind. The nearest support is at 0.69933, which is a critical level to watch; a break below that would invalidate the bullish structure. With no resistance levels defined, the upside is open, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trend and monitor momentum for signs of fading.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong alignment of bullish trends across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes.
  • ▲ Multiple moving average and trendline retreats indicate price is finding support at dynamic levels.
  • ▲ The Ascending Triangle pattern is a classic bullish continuation setup.
  • ▲ BOP zero cross up confirms buying pressure is increasing.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1-day timeframe is solidly bearish, which could override the short-term bullish momentum.
  • ▼ The 8h trend is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear direction on that timeframe.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the 0.69933 support, the bullish thesis is invalidated.
  • ▼ The stochastic cross down could signal a deeper pullback than expected.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 18%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 0.69933 2026-10-21
S2 0.69829 2026-10-20
S3 0.69707 2026-10-20

Tags

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