AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
57 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %
Entry
0.70169
Target
0.70297 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69933 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,056 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,056 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping
▲ Bullish 96 % (38.31) ▼ Bearish 4 % (1.54)
model score 13.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.15
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.98
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.86
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.53
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.43
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.36
▲ Marubozu Bullish candlestick 1.19
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.08

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on the 30M timeframe with multiple indicators firing together.
  • Trend alignment is bullish across most intraday timeframes, but the 1D bearish trend is a caution.
  • Watch the 0.70173 resistance for a potential breakout; 0.69933 support is the invalidation zone.
  • Short-term choppiness suggests the move may be noisy; wait for confirmation on higher timeframes.
The AUD/USD 30-minute signal is strongly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength. Multiple momentum and trend-following indicators have fired in the same direction, including BOP, CCI, STOCH, WILLR, BBANDS, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA, all crossing or retreating upward. This confluence suggests a broad-based shift in buying pressure on the short timeframe, supported by a cluster of candlestick patterns that reinforce the bullish case.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, with the 1h, 2h, 4h, and 12h charts showing a forming trend (2/5 strength). However, the 15m and 30m are choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating some noise, and the 1-day timeframe is bearish with a solid trend (3/5), which poses a potential headwind. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70173 and support at 0.69933. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish momentum, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH, WILLR) all crossing upward simultaneously.
  • ▲ Trend-following indicators (BBANDS, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) confirming upward retreats.
  • ▲ Consistent bullish bias across 15m to 12h timeframes, with trend forming on higher intraday charts.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (96%) increase confidence.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1-day timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, which could override the short-term bullish move.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways action on the 15m and 30m suggests the bullish momentum may lack follow-through.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.69933 would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.70173 is close; a rejection there could lead to a pullback.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70173 2026-10-20
S1 0.69933 2026-10-21
S2 0.69829 2026-10-20
S3 0.69707 2026-10-20

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