AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-21 08:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.05 %

Entry

0.70268

Target

0.69933 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70623 −0.51 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.91
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.37
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.37
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.33
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart suggests immediate downside pressure, but it is counter to the bullish intraday trend.
The resistance at 0.70295 is the key invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish setup.
The nearest support at 0.69933 is the first target; watch for a bounce or breakdown there.
The daily timeframe is bearish, which could amplify the sell signal if the lower timeframe pullback gains traction.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a strong ADX trend score, a BOP zero cross down, a stochastic KD cross down, an HMA retreat down, a KELTNER upper retreat, an extreme ZSCORE exit, and a Tweezers Top candlestick pattern. This confluence suggests that the recent bullish momentum on the lower timeframes is stalling and that a short-term pullback or reversal is likely. The immediate bearish case is supported by the resistance at 0.70295, which aligns with the upper KELTNER band and the extreme ZSCORE, indicating that price has reached an overextended level relative to its recent range.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 1-day timeframe is solidly bearish, the 15-minute through 12-hour timeframes are all bullish, with the 1-hour and 2-hour showing solid trends. This means the sell signal is counter to the prevailing intraday bullish momentum, and the 30-minute trend itself is still forming bullish. The sell signal likely represents a counter-trend correction within a larger bullish structure, and the nearest support at 0.69933 will be a critical test. If price holds above this level, the pullback may be shallow; a break below it could open the door for a more sustained decline, aligning with the daily bearish trend.

Catalysts

▼ Strong ADX trend score confirms directional conviction behind the bearish move.
▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, HMA, KELTNER, ZSCORE) align to signal an overextended price and a likely retreat.
▼ The Tweezers Top candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal signal at resistance.
▼ The 1-day bearish trend provides a higher-timeframe backdrop that could support a deeper move if support breaks.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30M and higher timeframes (up to 12H) are all bullish, so the sell signal is counter-trend and may only result in a shallow pullback.
▲ If price breaks above the 0.70295 resistance, the bearish signals are invalidated and the bullish momentum could resume.
▲ The trend scores on the lower timeframes are still forming (2/5), indicating that the bullish trend is not yet strong; however, the 1H and 2H are solid, which could absorb the sell pressure.
▲ Watch for fading bearish momentum on the 30M chart—if the ADX trend weakens or price holds above support, the sell signal may fizzle.